Stats Prediction
Result probability
54%
25%
21%
Lens 54%
Draw 25%
Montpellier 21%
1.6 – 0.9
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
13% chance
Most Likely Score
47%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
LEN · at home
MON · away
1.56
Goals scored per game
1.10
0.89
Goals conceded per game
1.50
1.09x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.03x
0.83x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.05x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-1-2
vs Nantes (A) 0-1 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
5-4-1
vs Rennes (A) 2-1 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
41
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
67%
Lens wins 1
Draws 2
Montpellier wins 0
Goals 2 (0.67 per game)
Goals 1 (0.33 per game)
33%
1
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
0%
0
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Both Teams Scored
67%
2
of 3
Lens Clean Sheets
33%
1
of 3
Montpellier Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
D
W
W
W
D
1.60
9-5-6
PPG Overall
1.89
5-2-2
PPG at Home
1.36
4-3-4
PPG Away
L
D
L
D
W
L
D
L
D
W
D
L
D
L
D
1.00
4-8-8
PPG Overall
1.00
1-7-2
PPG at Home
1.00
3-1-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Lens at home +89% on points per game vs Montpellier away (1.89 vs 1.00)
Rest & Schedule
105
days rest
Nantes 0-1 Lens
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
105
days rest
Rennes 2-1 Montpellier
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
9
11
Win %
45%
56%
36%
Goals per game
2.15
2.44
1.91
Scored
1.20
1.56
0.91
Conceded
0.95
0.89
1.00
Both teams scored
30%
44%
18%
Clean sheets
50%
33%
64%
Failed to score
35%
22%
45%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
20%
10%
30%
Goals per game
2.25
1.90
2.60
Scored
1.00
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.25
1.00
1.50
Both teams scored
40%
50%
30%
Clean sheets
35%
50%
20%
Failed to score
45%
40%
50%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lens
LEN
Montpellier
MON
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
85% 17/20
80% 16/20
83%
–
Over 1.5
65% 13/20
70% 14/20
68%
72%
Over 2.5
35% 7/20
45% 9/20
40%
48%
Over 3.5
20% 4/20
25% 5/20
23%
26%
Over 4.5
10% 2/20
5% 1/20
8%
–
Under 2.5
65% 13/20
55% 11/20
60%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
30% 6/20
40% 8/20
35%
49%
BTTS & win
10% 2/20
5% 1/20
8%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
20% 4/20
30% 6/20
25%
–
Lens
LEN
Montpellier
MON
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
70% 14/20
75% 15/20
73%
–
Over 1.5
20% 4/20
15% 3/20
18%
–
Over 2.5
5% 1/20
5% 1/20
5%
–
BTTS
15% 3/20
5% 1/20
10%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.56 at home
1.10 away
Lens scored 14 in 9 home games
Montpellier scored 11 in 10 away games
Lens
LEN
Montpellier
MON
Scored over 0.5
65% 13/20
55% 11/20
Scored over 1.5
35% 7/20
25% 5/20
Scored over 2.5
15% 3/20
15% 3/20
Failed to score
35% 7/20
45% 9/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.89 at home
1.50 away
Lens conceded 8 in 9 home games
Montpellier conceded 15 in 10 away games
Lens
LEN
Montpellier
MON
Conceded over 0.5
50% 10/20
65% 13/20
Conceded over 1.5
30% 6/20
45% 9/20
Conceded over 2.5
15% 3/20
15% 3/20
Clean sheets
50% 10/20
35% 7/20
Streaks
2
Won in a row
2
Scored in a row
2
Clean sheets in a row
3
Longest win run this season
4
Without a win last win 5 games ago
Match Totals
Lens
LEN
Montpellier
MON
League
Corners
Corners won
5.00
3.84
–
Corners conceded
4.21
5.21
–
Match total
9.21
9.05
9.45
Over 8.5
58% 11/19
42% 8/19
–
Over 9.5
47% 9/19
42% 8/19
–
Over 10.5
37% 7/19
21% 4/19
–
Cards
Cards
2.40
2.15
–
Opponent cards
1.95
2.60
–
Match total
4.35
4.75
3.98
Over 3.5
65% 13/20
55% 11/20
–
Over 4.5
50% 10/20
40% 8/20
–
Shots
Shots
13.90
13.60
–
Opponent shots
11.25
15.20
–
Match total
25.15
28.80
25.14
Shots on target
On target
5.00
5.11
–
Opponent on target
4.05
5.21
–
Match total
9.05
10.32
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.25
12.65
–
Opponent fouls
13.70
14.60
–
Match total
26.95
27.25
–
Possession
All games
52%
44%
–
Home games
51%
45%
–
Away games
53%
42%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lens
Scored · 24
12%
17%
12%
21%
17%
21%
Conceded · 19
5%
11%
32%
21%
5%
26%
Montpellier
Scored · 20
15%
10%
20%
15%
25%
15%
Conceded · 25
28%
4%
8%
20%
24%
16%
53%
Scored first
38%
21%
Goals after 75'
15%
Scored first: Lens 9 of 17, Montpellier 6 of 16 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
35%40%25%
Leading 7
Level 8
Trailing 5
1.45
points per game
At half-time
71%
5 of 7
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 14
At half-time
30%25%45%
Leading 6
Level 5
Trailing 9
1.15
points per game
At half-time
67%
4 of 6
Led at HT, won
22%
2 of 9
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 92nd 11
7
Points won from losing positions in 9 · 10 games
2
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 11 · 7 games
6
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
4
9
8
3
28
14
14
35
5
10
5
5
37
28
9
35
6
9
5
6
24
19
5
32
7
9
3
8
27
27
0
30
8
7
8
5
28
22
6
29
···
10
6
7
7
21
26
-5
25
11
5
9
6
23
24
-1
24
12
4
8
8
20
25
-5
20
13
4
8
8
19
27
-8
20
14
5
4
11
20
33
-13
19
···
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