Stats Prediction
Result probability
45%
33%
22%
Torino 45%
Draw 33%
Lazio 22%
1.1 – 0.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
19% chance
Most Likely Score
25%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Torino · at home
Lazio · away
1.20
Goals scored per game
1.20
0.60
Goals conceded per game
1.30
0.83x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.09x
0.55x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.90x
Average: 1.45 home goals and 1.10 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-1-2
vs Genoa (A) 0-0 · 13 Jan 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Lecce (H) 1-0 · 14 Jan 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
20%
40%
40%
Torino wins 2
Draws 4
Lazio wins 4
Goals 10 (1.00 per game)
Goals 15 (1.50 per game)
70%
7
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
40%
4
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
3
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
5
of 10
Both Teams Scored
30%
3
of 10
Torino Clean Sheets
40%
4
of 10
Lazio Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
D
W
1.40
7-7-6
PPG Overall
1.90
5-4-1
PPG at Home
0.90
2-3-5
PPG Away
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
D
W
L
D
L
1.65
10-3-7
PPG Overall
2.00
6-2-2
PPG at Home
1.30
4-1-5
PPG Away
Venue form: Torino at home +46% on points per game vs Lazio away (1.90 vs 1.30)
Rest & Schedule
8
days rest
Genoa 0-0 Torino
2 games in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
7
days rest
Lazio 1-0 Lecce
2 games in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
35%
50%
20%
Goals per game
1.80
1.80
1.80
Scored
0.90
1.20
0.60
Conceded
0.90
0.60
1.20
Both teams scored
25%
30%
20%
Clean sheets
50%
60%
40%
Failed to score
45%
30%
60%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
50%
60%
40%
Goals per game
2.20
1.90
2.50
Scored
1.20
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.00
0.70
1.30
Both teams scored
45%
30%
60%
Clean sheets
35%
50%
20%
Failed to score
25%
30%
20%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Torino
TOR
Lazio
LAZ
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 16/20
95% 19/20
88%
–
Over 1.5
60% 12/20
70% 14/20
65%
74%
Over 2.5
30% 6/20
35% 7/20
33%
49%
Over 3.5
5% 1/20
15% 3/20
10%
24%
Over 4.5
5% 1/20
5% 1/20
5%
–
Under 2.5
70% 14/20
65% 13/20
68%
51%
Both teams score
BTTS
25% 5/20
45% 9/20
35%
50%
BTTS & win
5% 1/20
20% 4/20
13%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
10% 2/20
35% 7/20
23%
–
Torino
TOR
Lazio
LAZ
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
35% 7/20
65% 13/20
50%
–
Over 1.5
15% 3/20
25% 5/20
20%
–
Over 2.5
5% 1/20
5% 1/20
5%
–
BTTS
10% 2/20
15% 3/20
13%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (202 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.20 at home
1.20 away
Torino scored 12 in 10 home games
Lazio scored 12 in 10 away games
Torino
TOR
Lazio
LAZ
Scored over 0.5
55% 11/20
75% 15/20
Scored over 1.5
20% 4/20
35% 7/20
Scored over 2.5
15% 3/20
10% 2/20
Failed to score
45% 9/20
25% 5/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.60 at home
1.30 away
Torino conceded 6 in 10 home games
Lazio conceded 13 in 10 away games
Torino
TOR
Lazio
LAZ
Conceded over 0.5
50% 10/20
65% 13/20
Conceded over 1.5
25% 5/20
30% 6/20
Conceded over 2.5
10% 2/20
5% 1/20
Clean sheets
50% 10/20
35% 7/20
Streaks
Match Totals
Torino
TOR
Lazio
LAZ
League
Corners
Corners won
4.50
5.47
–
Corners conceded
3.33
4.21
–
Match total
7.83
9.68
9.80
Over 8.5
44% 8/18
42% 8/19
–
Over 9.5
44% 8/18
37% 7/19
–
Over 10.5
28% 5/18
32% 6/19
–
Cards
Cards
2.10
2.60
–
Opponent cards
2.25
2.80
–
Match total
4.35
5.40
4.71
Over 3.5
65% 13/20
85% 17/20
–
Over 4.5
45% 9/20
75% 15/20
–
Shots
Shots
10.35
11.30
–
Opponent shots
10.55
12.15
–
Match total
20.90
23.45
25.09
Shots on target
On target
3.37
3.50
–
Opponent on target
3.63
3.75
–
Match total
7.00
7.25
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.95
12.20
–
Opponent fouls
11.00
12.25
–
Match total
22.95
24.45
–
Possession
All games
52%
53%
–
Home games
54%
53%
–
Away games
50%
54%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (202 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Torino
Scored · 18
11%
11%
23%
22%
11%
22%
Conceded · 18
0%
6%
17%
22%
33%
22%
Lazio
Scored · 24
25%
17%
8%
12%
21%
17%
Conceded · 20
5%
10%
20%
25%
25%
15%
50%
Scored first
68%
22%
Goals after 75'
17%
Scored first: Torino 8 of 16, Lazio 13 of 19 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
25%70%5%
Leading 5
Level 14
Trailing 1
1.45
points per game
At half-time
100%
5 of 5
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 10
At half-time
40%45%15%
Leading 8
Level 9
Trailing 3
1.65
points per game
At half-time
63%
5 of 8
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 122nd 12
2
Points won from losing positions in 8 · 8 games
3
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 8 · 14 games
10
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
6
▼
9
9
4
29
22
7
36
7
10
5
7
32
26
6
35
8
▲
10
4
8
25
23
2
34
9
▼
10
4
8
31
25
6
34
10
▲
8
8
6
20
19
1
32
11
▼
7
8
8
21
28
-7
29
12
▲
7
8
8
24
26
-2
29
···
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