Stats Prediction
Result probability
75%
16%
9%
Inter 75%
Draw 16%
Atalanta 9%
2.4 – 0.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
13% chance
Most Likely Score
60%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Inter · at home
Atalanta · away
2.50
Goals scored per game
1.30
0.60
Goals conceded per game
1.40
1.72x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.18x
0.55x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.97x
Average: 1.45 home goals and 1.10 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Monza (A) 1-5 · 13 Jan 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Frosinone (H) 5-0 · 15 Jan 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
50%
50%
Inter wins 5
Draws 5
Atalanta wins 0
Goals 15 (1.50 per game)
Goals 9 (0.90 per game)
70%
7
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
40%
4
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
3
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Both Teams Scored
40%
4
of 10
Inter Clean Sheets
20%
2
of 10
Atalanta Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
2.55
16-3-1
PPG Overall
2.50
8-1-1
PPG at Home
2.60
8-2-0
PPG Away
W
D
W
L
W
W
D
W
L
W
W
L
L
D
L
1.65
10-3-7
PPG Overall
2.20
7-1-2
PPG at Home
1.10
3-2-5
PPG Away
Venue form: Inter at home +127% on points per game vs Atalanta away (2.50 vs 1.10)
Rest & Schedule
8
days rest
Monza 1-5 Inter
1 game in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
6
days rest
Atalanta 5-0 Frosinone
2 games in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
80%
80%
80%
Goals per game
2.95
3.10
2.80
Scored
2.45
2.50
2.40
Conceded
0.50
0.60
0.40
Both teams scored
40%
40%
40%
Clean sheets
60%
60%
60%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
50%
70%
30%
Goals per game
2.80
2.90
2.70
Scored
1.75
2.20
1.30
Conceded
1.05
0.70
1.40
Both teams scored
45%
40%
50%
Clean sheets
45%
60%
30%
Failed to score
15%
10%
20%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Inter
INT
Atalanta
ATA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 20/20
95% 19/20
98%
–
Over 1.5
90% 18/20
80% 16/20
85%
74%
Over 2.5
55% 11/20
55% 11/20
55%
49%
Over 3.5
30% 6/20
25% 5/20
28%
24%
Over 4.5
10% 2/20
25% 5/20
18%
–
Under 2.5
45% 9/20
45% 9/20
45%
51%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 8/20
45% 9/20
43%
50%
BTTS & win
20% 4/20
10% 2/20
15%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
30% 6/20
35% 7/20
33%
–
Inter
INT
Atalanta
ATA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 16/20
75% 15/20
78%
–
Over 1.5
35% 7/20
40% 8/20
38%
–
Over 2.5
10% 2/20
15% 3/20
13%
–
BTTS
15% 3/20
20% 4/20
18%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (202 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.50 at home
1.30 away
Inter scored 25 in 10 home games
Atalanta scored 13 in 10 away games
Inter
INT
Atalanta
ATA
Scored over 0.5
100% 20/20
85% 17/20
Scored over 1.5
75% 15/20
50% 10/20
Scored over 2.5
35% 7/20
25% 5/20
Failed to score
0% 0/20
15% 3/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.60 at home
1.40 away
Inter conceded 6 in 10 home games
Atalanta conceded 14 in 10 away games
Inter
INT
Atalanta
ATA
Conceded over 0.5
40% 8/20
55% 11/20
Conceded over 1.5
10% 2/20
35% 7/20
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/20
15% 3/20
Clean sheets
60% 12/20
45% 9/20
Streaks
Match Totals
Inter
INT
Atalanta
ATA
League
Corners
Corners won
5.88
5.90
–
Corners conceded
4.25
4.20
–
Match total
10.13
10.10
9.80
Over 8.5
69% 11/16
70% 14/20
–
Over 9.5
56% 9/16
60% 12/20
–
Over 10.5
44% 7/16
35% 7/20
–
Cards
Cards
1.30
2.00
–
Opponent cards
2.05
1.90
–
Match total
3.35
3.90
4.71
Over 3.5
50% 10/20
55% 11/20
–
Over 4.5
20% 4/20
35% 7/20
–
Shots
Shots
16.15
14.20
–
Opponent shots
9.95
11.20
–
Match total
26.10
25.40
25.09
Shots on target
On target
5.40
5.05
–
Opponent on target
2.80
3.74
–
Match total
8.20
8.79
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.40
12.80
–
Opponent fouls
11.15
10.20
–
Match total
22.55
23.00
–
Possession
All games
56%
51%
–
Home games
57%
51%
–
Away games
55%
51%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (202 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Inter
Scored · 49
14%
6%
25%
14%
12%
29%
Conceded · 10
0%
20%
10%
30%
40%
0%
Atalanta
Scored · 35
17%
6%
14%
23%
11%
29%
Conceded · 21
19%
10%
33%
9%
0%
29%
95%
Scored first
58%
29%
Goals after 75'
29%
Scored first: Inter 19 of 20, Atalanta 11 of 19 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
70%30%
Leading 14
Level 6
Trailing 0
2.40
points per game
At half-time
86%
12 of 14
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 222nd 27
At half-time
25%35%40%
Leading 5
Level 7
Trailing 8
1.10
points per game
At half-time
100%
5 of 5
Led at HT, won
25%
2 of 8
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 132nd 22
1
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 9 games
4
7
Points dropped from winning positions in 19 · 12 games
5
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
18
3
1
51
10
41
57
2
16
5
2
36
14
22
53
3
15
4
4
46
27
19
49
4
▲
12
3
7
40
22
18
39
5
▼
11
5
7
40
26
14
38
6
▼
9
9
4
29
22
7
36
···
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