Stats Prediction
Result probability
16%
19%
65%
Sassuolo 16%
Draw 19%
Napoli 65%
1.0 – 2.2
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-2
10% chance
Most Likely Score
61%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Sassuolo · at home
Napoli · away
1.30
Goals scored per game
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded per game
1.10
0.90x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.46x
1.36x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.76x
Average: 1.45 home goals and 1.10 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Juventus (A) 3-0 · 16 Jan 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Salernitana (H) 2-1 · 13 Jan 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
10%
30%
60%
Sassuolo wins 1
Draws 3
Napoli wins 6
Goals 10 (1.00 per game)
Goals 24 (2.40 per game)
100%
10
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
50%
5
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
4
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
5
of 10
Both Teams Scored
10%
1
of 10
Sassuolo Clean Sheets
40%
4
of 10
Napoli Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
W
L
L
D
L
W
L
L
D
L
L
W
D
L
0.95
5-4-11
PPG Overall
1.10
3-2-5
PPG at Home
0.80
2-2-6
PPG Away
W
L
D
L
W
W
L
D
L
W
L
L
W
L
W
1.55
9-4-7
PPG Overall
1.40
4-2-4
PPG at Home
1.70
5-2-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Napoli away +55% on points per game vs Sassuolo at home (1.70 vs 1.10)
Rest & Schedule
5
days rest
Juventus 3-0 Sassuolo
1 game in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
8
days rest
Napoli 2-1 Salernitana
2 games in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
25%
30%
20%
Goals per game
3.10
2.80
3.40
Scored
1.30
1.30
1.30
Conceded
1.80
1.50
2.10
Both teams scored
65%
60%
70%
Clean sheets
5%
10%
0%
Failed to score
30%
30%
30%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
45%
40%
50%
Goals per game
2.75
2.80
2.70
Scored
1.50
1.40
1.60
Conceded
1.25
1.40
1.10
Both teams scored
50%
60%
40%
Clean sheets
25%
20%
30%
Failed to score
35%
30%
40%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Sassuolo
SAS
Napoli
NAP
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 20/20
90% 18/20
95%
–
Over 1.5
85% 17/20
80% 16/20
83%
74%
Over 2.5
60% 12/20
65% 13/20
63%
49%
Over 3.5
30% 6/20
35% 7/20
33%
24%
Over 4.5
15% 3/20
5% 1/20
10%
–
Under 2.5
40% 8/20
35% 7/20
38%
51%
Both teams score
BTTS
65% 13/20
50% 10/20
58%
50%
BTTS & win
20% 4/20
30% 6/20
25%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
55% 11/20
50% 10/20
53%
–
Sassuolo
SAS
Napoli
NAP
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
85% 17/20
70% 14/20
78%
–
Over 1.5
40% 8/20
35% 7/20
38%
–
Over 2.5
20% 4/20
5% 1/20
13%
–
BTTS
30% 6/20
20% 4/20
25%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (202 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.30 at home
1.60 away
Sassuolo scored 13 in 10 home games
Napoli scored 16 in 10 away games
Sassuolo
SAS
Napoli
NAP
Scored over 0.5
70% 14/20
65% 13/20
Scored over 1.5
35% 7/20
55% 11/20
Scored over 2.5
15% 3/20
20% 4/20
Failed to score
30% 6/20
35% 7/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.50 at home
1.10 away
Sassuolo conceded 15 in 10 home games
Napoli conceded 11 in 10 away games
Sassuolo
SAS
Napoli
NAP
Conceded over 0.5
95% 19/20
75% 15/20
Conceded over 1.5
65% 13/20
35% 7/20
Conceded over 2.5
15% 3/20
15% 3/20
Clean sheets
5% 1/20
25% 5/20
Streaks
Match Totals
Sassuolo
SAS
Napoli
NAP
League
Corners
Corners won
5.05
6.68
–
Corners conceded
6.11
3.68
–
Match total
11.16
10.37
9.80
Over 8.5
84% 16/19
84% 16/19
–
Over 9.5
68% 13/19
68% 13/19
–
Over 10.5
68% 13/19
37% 7/19
–
Cards
Cards
2.05
2.55
–
Opponent cards
1.70
2.65
–
Match total
3.75
5.20
4.71
Over 3.5
55% 11/20
70% 14/20
–
Over 4.5
45% 9/20
60% 12/20
–
Shots
Shots
13.35
17.15
–
Opponent shots
14.35
10.15
–
Match total
27.70
27.30
25.09
Shots on target
On target
4.65
5.45
–
Opponent on target
4.90
3.45
–
Match total
9.55
8.90
–
Fouls
Fouls
9.90
10.15
–
Opponent fouls
11.20
12.70
–
Match total
21.10
22.85
–
Possession
All games
46%
59%
–
Home games
45%
61%
–
Away games
47%
58%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (202 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Sassuolo
Scored · 26
23%
23%
12%
8%
19%
15%
Conceded · 36
14%
14%
14%
11%
14%
33%
Napoli
Scored · 30
3%
17%
23%
10%
17%
30%
Conceded · 25
8%
12%
16%
24%
16%
24%
40%
Scored first
39%
15%
Goals after 75'
30%
Scored first: Sassuolo 8 of 20, Napoli 7 of 18 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
40%30%30%
Leading 8
Level 6
Trailing 6
1.50
points per game
At half-time
38%
3 of 8
Led at HT, won
50%
3 of 6
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 152nd 11
At half-time
35%45%20%
Leading 7
Level 9
Trailing 4
1.50
points per game
At half-time
100%
7 of 7
Led at HT, won
50%
2 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 132nd 17
9
Points won from losing positions in 16 · 11 games
8
14
Points dropped from winning positions in 10 · 9 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
5
▼
11
5
7
40
26
14
38
6
▼
9
9
4
29
22
7
36
7
10
5
7
32
26
6
35
8
▲
10
4
8
25
23
2
34
9
▼
10
4
8
31
25
6
34
···
13
5
9
9
24
33
-9
24
14
▼
6
5
12
31
44
-13
23
15
5
4
13
28
41
-13
19
16
▲
2
13
8
23
37
-14
19
17
▲
4
6
13
21
32
-11
18
···
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