Stats Prediction
Result probability
48%
33%
19%
Bologna 48%
Draw 33%
Fiorentina 19%
1.1 – 0.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
21% chance
Most Likely Score
22%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
28%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Bologna · at home
Fiorentina · away
1.40
Goals scored per game
1.20
0.50
Goals conceded per game
1.10
0.97x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.09x
0.45x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.76x
Average: 1.45 home goals and 1.10 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Cagliari (A) 2-1 · 14 Jan 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Udinese (H) 2-2 · 14 Jan 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
20%
40%
40%
Bologna wins 2
Draws 4
Fiorentina wins 4
Goals 11 (1.10 per game)
Goals 16 (1.60 per game)
70%
7
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
3
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Both Teams Scored
20%
2
of 10
Bologna Clean Sheets
40%
4
of 10
Fiorentina Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
D
L
W
W
L
D
L
W
W
W
D
W
L
W
1.60
8-8-4
PPG Overall
2.30
7-2-1
PPG at Home
0.90
1-6-3
PPG Away
D
L
W
W
W
D
L
W
W
W
D
W
L
W
L
1.70
10-4-6
PPG Overall
2.00
6-2-2
PPG at Home
1.40
4-2-4
PPG Away
Venue form: Bologna at home +64% on points per game vs Fiorentina away (2.30 vs 1.40)
Rest & Schedule
7
days rest
Cagliari 2-1 Bologna
1 game in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
7
days rest
Fiorentina 2-2 Udinese
1 game in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
40%
70%
10%
Goals per game
2.05
1.90
2.20
Scored
1.15
1.40
0.90
Conceded
0.90
0.50
1.30
Both teams scored
50%
30%
70%
Clean sheets
40%
60%
20%
Failed to score
25%
20%
30%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
50%
60%
40%
Goals per game
2.50
2.70
2.30
Scored
1.45
1.70
1.20
Conceded
1.05
1.00
1.10
Both teams scored
40%
40%
40%
Clean sheets
30%
40%
20%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Bologna
BOL
Fiorentina
FIO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
85% 17/20
100% 20/20
93%
–
Over 1.5
75% 15/20
65% 13/20
70%
74%
Over 2.5
40% 8/20
45% 9/20
43%
49%
Over 3.5
5% 1/20
30% 6/20
18%
24%
Over 4.5
0% 0/20
10% 2/20
5%
–
Under 2.5
60% 12/20
55% 11/20
58%
51%
Both teams score
BTTS
50% 10/20
40% 8/20
45%
50%
BTTS & win
15% 3/20
20% 4/20
18%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
30% 6/20
30% 6/20
30%
–
Bologna
BOL
Fiorentina
FIO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
65% 13/20
85% 17/20
75%
–
Over 1.5
35% 7/20
35% 7/20
35%
–
Over 2.5
5% 1/20
10% 2/20
8%
–
BTTS
20% 4/20
15% 3/20
18%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (202 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.40 at home
1.20 away
Bologna scored 14 in 10 home games
Fiorentina scored 12 in 10 away games
Bologna
BOL
Fiorentina
FIO
Scored over 0.5
75% 15/20
70% 14/20
Scored over 1.5
35% 7/20
45% 9/20
Scored over 2.5
5% 1/20
25% 5/20
Failed to score
25% 5/20
30% 6/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.50 at home
1.10 away
Bologna conceded 5 in 10 home games
Fiorentina conceded 11 in 10 away games
Bologna
BOL
Fiorentina
FIO
Conceded over 0.5
60% 12/20
70% 14/20
Conceded over 1.5
25% 5/20
25% 5/20
Conceded over 2.5
5% 1/20
5% 1/20
Clean sheets
40% 8/20
30% 6/20
Streaks
3
Without a win last win 4 games ago
3
Conceded in a row
2
Scored in a row
2
Both teams scored in a row
3
Longest win run this season
2
Without a win last win 3 games ago
2
Conceded in a row
3
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Bologna
BOL
Fiorentina
FIO
League
Corners
Corners won
4.11
5.28
–
Corners conceded
4.89
3.44
–
Match total
9.00
8.72
9.80
Over 8.5
44% 8/18
39% 7/18
–
Over 9.5
28% 5/18
33% 6/18
–
Over 10.5
22% 4/18
28% 5/18
–
Cards
Cards
2.55
2.15
–
Opponent cards
3.35
2.10
–
Match total
5.90
4.25
4.71
Over 3.5
90% 18/20
65% 13/20
–
Over 4.5
70% 14/20
40% 8/20
–
Shots
Shots
11.45
13.15
–
Opponent shots
10.65
10.15
–
Match total
22.10
23.30
25.09
Shots on target
On target
4.35
4.50
–
Opponent on target
3.30
3.95
–
Match total
7.65
8.45
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.30
12.95
–
Opponent fouls
13.15
12.60
–
Match total
25.45
25.55
–
Possession
All games
57%
58%
–
Home games
57%
60%
–
Away games
57%
56%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (202 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Bologna
Scored · 23
9%
30%
9%
22%
8%
22%
Conceded · 18
17%
28%
11%
17%
16%
11%
Fiorentina
Scored · 29
24%
17%
14%
14%
7%
24%
Conceded · 21
19%
15%
14%
24%
14%
14%
65%
Scored first
55%
22%
Goals after 75'
24%
Scored first: Bologna 11 of 17, Fiorentina 11 of 20 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
25%50%25%
Leading 5
Level 10
Trailing 5
1.25
points per game
At half-time
80%
4 of 5
Led at HT, won
60%
3 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 112nd 12
At half-time
40%25%35%
Leading 8
Level 5
Trailing 7
1.45
points per game
At half-time
75%
6 of 8
Led at HT, won
29%
2 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 162nd 13
5
Points won from losing positions in 7 · 9 games
5
9
Points dropped from winning positions in 12 · 12 games
4
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
4
▲
12
3
7
40
22
18
39
5
▼
11
5
7
40
26
14
38
6
▼
9
9
4
29
22
7
36
7
10
5
7
32
26
6
35
8
▲
10
4
8
25
23
2
34
9
▼
10
4
8
31
25
6
34
10
▲
8
8
6
20
19
1
32
11
▼
7
8
8
21
28
-7
29
···
- Champions League (Group Stage) - Europa League (Group Stage) - Europa Conference League (Qualification) - Relegation - Serie B
Latest Games
