Stats Prediction
Result probability
13%
24%
63%
Empoli 13%
Draw 24%
Fiorentina 63%
0.6 – 1.6
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
18% chance
Most Likely Score
39%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Empoli · at home
Fiorentina · away
0.67
Goals scored per game
1.27
1.42
Goals conceded per game
1.27
0.46x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.16x
1.30x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.87x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 23 + 22 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Genoa (H) 0-0 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Lecce (A) 3-2 · 2 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings
43%
29%
29%
Empoli wins 3
Draws 2
Fiorentina wins 2
Goals 7 (1.00 per game)
Goals 6 (0.86 per game)
57%
4
of 7
Over 1.5 Goals
29%
2
of 7
Over 2.5 Goals
14%
1
of 7
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
3
of 7
Both Teams Scored
43%
3
of 7
Empoli Clean Sheets
29%
2
of 7
Fiorentina Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 7 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
D
W
L
L
D
D
W
L
L
D
L
L
D
D
0.78
4-6-13
PPG Overall
0.75
2-3-7
PPG at Home
0.82
2-3-6
PPG Away
L
L
D
L
W
L
L
D
L
W
W
W
D
W
L
1.55
10-4-8
PPG Overall
1.82
6-2-3
PPG at Home
1.27
4-2-5
PPG Away
Venue form: Fiorentina away +69% on points per game vs Empoli at home (1.27 vs 0.75)
Rest & Schedule
15
days rest
Empoli 0-0 Genoa
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
16
days rest
Lecce 3-2 Fiorentina
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
12
11
Win %
17%
17%
18%
Goals per game
2.22
2.08
2.36
Scored
0.65
0.67
0.64
Conceded
1.57
1.42
1.73
Both teams scored
26%
17%
36%
Clean sheets
30%
33%
27%
Failed to score
57%
67%
45%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
11
11
Win %
45%
55%
36%
Goals per game
2.55
2.55
2.55
Scored
1.41
1.55
1.27
Conceded
1.14
1.00
1.27
Both teams scored
41%
36%
45%
Clean sheets
27%
36%
18%
Failed to score
32%
27%
36%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Empoli
EMP
Fiorentina
FIO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
87% 20/23
100% 22/22
93%
–
Over 1.5
65% 15/23
64% 14/22
64%
74%
Over 2.5
35% 8/23
45% 10/22
40%
50%
Over 3.5
9% 2/23
32% 7/22
20%
24%
Over 4.5
9% 2/23
14% 3/22
11%
–
Under 2.5
65% 15/23
55% 12/22
60%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
26% 6/23
41% 9/22
33%
51%
BTTS & win
0% 0/23
18% 4/22
9%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
13% 3/23
32% 7/22
22%
–
Empoli
EMP
Fiorentina
FIO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
61% 14/23
86% 19/22
74%
–
Over 1.5
22% 5/23
32% 7/22
27%
–
Over 2.5
9% 2/23
9% 2/22
9%
–
BTTS
4% 1/23
14% 3/22
9%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.67 at home
1.27 away
Empoli scored 8 in 12 home games
Fiorentina scored 14 in 11 away games
Empoli
EMP
Fiorentina
FIO
Scored over 0.5
43% 10/23
68% 15/22
Scored over 1.5
13% 3/23
45% 10/22
Scored over 2.5
9% 2/23
23% 5/22
Failed to score
57% 13/23
32% 7/22
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.42 at home
1.27 away
Empoli conceded 17 in 12 home games
Fiorentina conceded 14 in 11 away games
Empoli
EMP
Fiorentina
FIO
Conceded over 0.5
70% 16/23
73% 16/22
Conceded over 1.5
43% 10/23
27% 6/22
Conceded over 2.5
22% 5/23
9% 2/22
Clean sheets
30% 7/23
27% 6/22
Streaks
3
Unbeaten last loss 4 games ago
4
Without a win last win 5 games ago
4
Conceded in a row
3
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Empoli
EMP
Fiorentina
FIO
League
Corners
Corners won
5.00
5.25
–
Corners conceded
6.00
3.45
–
Match total
11.00
8.70
9.77
Over 8.5
78% 18/23
40% 8/20
–
Over 9.5
70% 16/23
35% 7/20
–
Over 10.5
61% 14/23
30% 6/20
–
Cards
Cards
2.22
2.18
–
Opponent cards
2.09
2.18
–
Match total
4.30
4.36
4.69
Over 3.5
74% 17/23
68% 15/22
–
Over 4.5
35% 8/23
45% 10/22
–
Shots
Shots
11.70
13.05
–
Opponent shots
15.26
10.32
–
Match total
26.96
23.36
25.17
Shots on target
On target
3.55
4.41
–
Opponent on target
5.09
4.14
–
Match total
8.64
8.55
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.91
12.73
–
Opponent fouls
13.83
12.59
–
Match total
26.74
25.32
–
Possession
All games
46%
58%
–
Home games
46%
60%
–
Away games
46%
56%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Empoli
Scored · 15
14%
13%
13%
0%
33%
27%
Conceded · 36
20%
14%
11%
19%
17%
19%
Fiorentina
Scored · 31
23%
16%
13%
16%
10%
22%
Conceded · 25
20%
16%
12%
20%
12%
20%
25%
Scored first
50%
27%
Goals after 75'
23%
Scored first: Empoli 5 of 20, Fiorentina 11 of 22 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
13%43%43%
Leading 3
Level 10
Trailing 10
0.83
points per game
At half-time
100%
3 of 3
Led at HT, won
10%
1 of 10
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 62nd 9
At half-time
36%23%41%
Leading 8
Level 5
Trailing 9
1.32
points per game
At half-time
75%
6 of 8
Led at HT, won
22%
2 of 9
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 162nd 15
3
Points won from losing positions in 16 · 11 games
5
3
Points dropped from winning positions in 5 · 13 games
7
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
7
10
5
7
32
26
6
35
8
▲
10
4
8
25
23
2
34
9
▼
10
4
8
31
25
6
34
10
▲
8
8
6
20
19
1
32
11
▼
7
8
8
21
28
-7
29
···
17
▲
4
6
13
21
32
-11
18
18
▼
4
6
13
21
42
-21
18
19
▼
4
6
13
15
36
-21
18
20
2
7
14
19
44
-25
13
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