Stats Prediction
Result probability
53%
33%
14%
Torino 53%
Draw 33%
Lecce 14%
1.1 – 0.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
24% chance
Most Likely Score
19%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
22%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Torino · at home
Lecce · away
1.09
Goals scored per game
0.82
0.55
Goals conceded per game
1.45
0.75x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.75x
0.50x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.00x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 22 + 23 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-1-2
vs Salernitana (H) 0-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Fiorentina (H) 3-2 · 2 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings
60%
40%
Torino wins 3
Draws 0
Lecce wins 2
Goals 5 (1.00 per game)
Goals 6 (1.20 per game)
60%
3
of 5
Over 1.5 Goals
40%
2
of 5
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
1
of 5
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
1
of 5
Both Teams Scored
60%
3
of 5
Torino Clean Sheets
20%
1
of 5
Lecce Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 5 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
W
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
1.45
8-8-6
PPG Overall
1.82
5-5-1
PPG at Home
1.09
3-3-5
PPG Away
W
L
L
L
D
W
L
L
L
D
L
L
W
D
D
1.04
5-9-9
PPG Overall
1.58
5-4-3
PPG at Home
0.45
0-5-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Torino at home +304% on points per game vs Lecce away (1.82 vs 0.45)
Rest & Schedule
14
days rest
Torino 0-0 Salernitana
1 game in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
16
days rest
Lecce 3-2 Fiorentina
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
11
11
Win %
36%
45%
27%
Goals per game
1.77
1.64
1.91
Scored
0.91
1.09
0.73
Conceded
0.86
0.55
1.18
Both teams scored
27%
27%
27%
Clean sheets
50%
64%
36%
Failed to score
45%
36%
55%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
12
11
Win %
22%
42%
0%
Goals per game
2.48
2.67
2.27
Scored
1.04
1.25
0.82
Conceded
1.43
1.42
1.45
Both teams scored
61%
58%
64%
Clean sheets
9%
17%
0%
Failed to score
30%
25%
36%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Torino
TOR
Lecce
LEC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
77% 17/22
100% 23/23
89%
–
Over 1.5
59% 13/22
78% 18/23
69%
74%
Over 2.5
32% 7/22
43% 10/23
38%
50%
Over 3.5
5% 1/22
22% 5/23
13%
24%
Over 4.5
5% 1/22
4% 1/23
4%
–
Under 2.5
68% 15/22
57% 13/23
62%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
27% 6/22
61% 14/23
44%
51%
BTTS & win
9% 2/22
13% 3/23
11%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
14% 3/22
35% 8/23
24%
–
Torino
TOR
Lecce
LEC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
36% 8/22
61% 14/23
49%
–
Over 1.5
18% 4/22
22% 5/23
20%
–
Over 2.5
5% 1/22
0% 0/23
2%
–
BTTS
9% 2/22
13% 3/23
11%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.09 at home
0.82 away
Torino scored 12 in 11 home games
Lecce scored 9 in 11 away games
Torino
TOR
Lecce
LEC
Scored over 0.5
55% 12/22
70% 16/23
Scored over 1.5
23% 5/22
30% 7/23
Scored over 2.5
14% 3/22
4% 1/23
Failed to score
45% 10/22
30% 7/23
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.55 at home
1.45 away
Torino conceded 6 in 11 home games
Lecce conceded 16 in 11 away games
Torino
TOR
Lecce
LEC
Conceded over 0.5
50% 11/22
91% 21/23
Conceded over 1.5
23% 5/22
39% 9/23
Conceded over 2.5
9% 2/22
9% 2/23
Clean sheets
50% 11/22
9% 2/23
Streaks
Match Totals
Torino
TOR
Lecce
LEC
League
Corners
Corners won
4.65
4.09
–
Corners conceded
3.50
4.77
–
Match total
8.15
8.86
9.77
Over 8.5
50% 10/20
55% 12/22
–
Over 9.5
50% 10/20
41% 9/22
–
Over 10.5
35% 7/20
32% 7/22
–
Cards
Cards
2.18
2.78
–
Opponent cards
2.18
2.65
–
Match total
4.36
5.43
4.69
Over 3.5
64% 14/22
83% 19/23
–
Over 4.5
45% 10/22
65% 15/23
–
Shots
Shots
10.73
13.26
–
Opponent shots
10.86
13.78
–
Match total
21.59
27.04
25.17
Shots on target
On target
3.38
4.23
–
Opponent on target
3.81
4.77
–
Match total
7.19
9.00
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.91
13.57
–
Opponent fouls
10.91
14.09
–
Match total
22.82
27.65
–
Possession
All games
52%
45%
–
Home games
55%
46%
–
Away games
49%
44%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Torino
Scored · 20
10%
15%
25%
20%
10%
20%
Conceded · 19
0%
5%
16%
21%
32%
26%
Lecce
Scored · 24
13%
8%
8%
8%
21%
42%
Conceded · 33
3%
18%
15%
21%
18%
25%
53%
Scored first
43%
20%
Goals after 75'
42%
Scored first: Torino 9 of 17, Lecce 10 of 23 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
27%68%5%
Leading 6
Level 15
Trailing 1
1.50
points per game
At half-time
100%
6 of 6
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 10
At half-time
17%52%30%
Leading 4
Level 12
Trailing 7
1.04
points per game
At half-time
50%
2 of 4
Led at HT, won
57%
4 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 17
2
Points won from losing positions in 8 · 16 games
11
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 9 · 11 games
14
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
8
▲
10
4
8
25
23
2
34
9
▼
10
4
8
31
25
6
34
10
▲
8
8
6
20
19
1
32
11
▼
7
8
8
21
28
-7
29
12
▲
7
8
8
24
26
-2
29
13
5
9
9
24
33
-9
24
14
▼
6
5
12
31
44
-13
23
15
5
4
13
28
41
-13
19
···
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