Stats Prediction
Result probability
86%
9%
Atalanta 86%
Draw 9%
Sassuolo 5%
3.3 – 0.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
3-0
10% chance
Most Likely Score
78%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Atalanta · at home
Sassuolo · away
2.25
Goals scored per game
1.25
0.67
Goals conceded per game
2.17
1.54x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.14x
0.61x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.48x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 22 + 22 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-1-2
vs Lazio (H) 3-1 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Bologna (A) 4-2 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
70%
10%
20%
Atalanta wins 7
Draws 1
Sassuolo wins 2
Goals 24 (2.40 per game)
Goals 10 (1.00 per game)
90%
9
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
4
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
80%
8
of 10
Both Teams Scored
10%
1
of 10
Atalanta Clean Sheets
10%
1
of 10
Sassuolo Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
L
W
W
L
L
1.77
12-3-7
PPG Overall
2.33
9-1-2
PPG at Home
1.10
3-2-5
PPG Away
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
D
L
L
W
0.86
5-4-13
PPG Overall
1.10
3-2-5
PPG at Home
0.67
2-2-8
PPG Away
Venue form: Atalanta at home +248% on points per game vs Sassuolo away (2.33 vs 0.67)
Rest & Schedule
14
days rest
Atalanta 3-1 Lazio
1 game in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
15
days rest
Bologna 4-2 Sassuolo
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
12
10
Win %
55%
75%
30%
Goals per game
2.82
2.92
2.70
Scored
1.82
2.25
1.30
Conceded
1.00
0.67
1.40
Both teams scored
45%
42%
50%
Clean sheets
45%
58%
30%
Failed to score
14%
8%
20%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
10
12
Win %
23%
30%
17%
Goals per game
3.14
2.80
3.42
Scored
1.27
1.30
1.25
Conceded
1.86
1.50
2.17
Both teams scored
64%
60%
67%
Clean sheets
5%
10%
0%
Failed to score
32%
30%
33%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Atalanta
ATA
Sassuolo
SAS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
95% 21/22
100% 22/22
98%
–
Over 1.5
82% 18/22
82% 18/22
82%
74%
Over 2.5
55% 12/22
59% 13/22
57%
50%
Over 3.5
27% 6/22
32% 7/22
30%
24%
Over 4.5
23% 5/22
18% 4/22
20%
–
Under 2.5
45% 10/22
41% 9/22
43%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
45% 10/22
64% 14/22
55%
51%
BTTS & win
14% 3/22
18% 4/22
16%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
36% 8/22
55% 12/22
45%
–
Atalanta
ATA
Sassuolo
SAS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
77% 17/22
86% 19/22
82%
–
Over 1.5
45% 10/22
41% 9/22
43%
–
Over 2.5
14% 3/22
23% 5/22
18%
–
BTTS
18% 4/22
32% 7/22
25%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.25 at home
1.25 away
Atalanta scored 27 in 12 home games
Sassuolo scored 15 in 12 away games
Atalanta
ATA
Sassuolo
SAS
Scored over 0.5
86% 19/22
68% 15/22
Scored over 1.5
55% 12/22
36% 8/22
Scored over 2.5
27% 6/22
14% 3/22
Failed to score
14% 3/22
32% 7/22
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.67 at home
2.17 away
Atalanta conceded 8 in 12 home games
Sassuolo conceded 26 in 12 away games
Atalanta
ATA
Sassuolo
SAS
Conceded over 0.5
55% 12/22
95% 21/22
Conceded over 1.5
32% 7/22
64% 14/22
Conceded over 2.5
14% 3/22
18% 4/22
Clean sheets
45% 10/22
5% 1/22
Streaks
Match Totals
Atalanta
ATA
Sassuolo
SAS
League
Corners
Corners won
5.82
5.00
–
Corners conceded
4.05
6.05
–
Match total
9.86
11.05
9.77
Over 8.5
64% 14/22
86% 18/21
–
Over 9.5
55% 12/22
67% 14/21
–
Over 10.5
32% 7/22
67% 14/21
–
Cards
Cards
2.00
2.14
–
Opponent cards
1.91
1.64
–
Match total
3.91
3.77
4.69
Over 3.5
55% 12/22
59% 13/22
–
Over 4.5
36% 8/22
41% 9/22
–
Shots
Shots
14.41
13.32
–
Opponent shots
11.09
14.45
–
Match total
25.50
27.77
25.17
Shots on target
On target
5.33
4.55
–
Opponent on target
3.67
4.64
–
Match total
9.00
9.18
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.59
10.05
–
Opponent fouls
10.41
11.05
–
Match total
23.00
21.09
–
Possession
All games
52%
45%
–
Home games
52%
45%
–
Away games
51%
45%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Atalanta
Scored · 40
15%
8%
20%
20%
10%
27%
Conceded · 22
18%
9%
32%
9%
0%
32%
Sassuolo
Scored · 28
25%
22%
14%
7%
18%
14%
Conceded · 41
12%
15%
15%
10%
14%
34%
62%
Scored first
41%
28%
Goals after 75'
14%
Scored first: Atalanta 13 of 21, Sassuolo 9 of 22 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
32%32%36%
Leading 7
Level 7
Trailing 8
1.27
points per game
At half-time
100%
7 of 7
Led at HT, won
25%
2 of 8
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 172nd 23
At half-time
41%27%32%
Leading 9
Level 6
Trailing 7
1.50
points per game
At half-time
33%
3 of 9
Led at HT, won
43%
3 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 172nd 11
4
Points won from losing positions in 9 · 18 games
9
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 14 · 11 games
17
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
2
16
5
2
36
14
22
53
3
15
4
4
46
27
19
49
4
▲
12
3
7
40
22
18
39
5
▼
11
5
7
40
26
14
38
6
▼
9
9
4
29
22
7
36
···
13
5
9
9
24
33
-9
24
14
▼
6
5
12
31
44
-13
23
15
5
4
13
28
41
-13
19
16
▲
2
13
8
23
37
-14
19
17
▲
4
6
13
21
32
-11
18
···
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