Stats Prediction
Result probability
90%
8%
Inter 90%
Draw 8%
Salernitana 2%
2.9 – 0.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
17% chance
Most Likely Score
63%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Inter · at home
Salernitana · away
2.36
Goals scored per game
0.64
0.55
Goals conceded per game
1.82
1.62x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.58x
0.50x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.25x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 22 + 23 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Juventus (H) 1-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Torino (A) 0-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
11
65
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings
80%
20%
Inter wins 4
Draws 1
Salernitana wins 0
Goals 17 (3.40 per game)
Goals 1 (0.20 per game)
100%
5
of 5
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
3
of 5
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
3
of 5
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
1
of 5
Both Teams Scored
80%
4
of 5
Inter Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 5
Salernitana Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 5 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
2.59
18-3-1
PPG Overall
2.55
9-1-1
PPG at Home
2.64
9-2-0
PPG Away
D
L
L
L
L
D
L
L
L
L
W
D
L
L
L
0.57
2-7-14
PPG Overall
0.58
1-4-7
PPG at Home
0.55
1-3-7
PPG Away
Venue form: Inter at home +364% on points per game vs Salernitana away (2.55 vs 0.55)
Rest & Schedule
14
days rest
Inter 1-0 Juventus
1 game in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
14
days rest
Torino 0-0 Salernitana
1 game in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
11
11
Win %
82%
82%
82%
Goals per game
2.77
2.91
2.64
Scored
2.32
2.36
2.27
Conceded
0.45
0.55
0.36
Both teams scored
36%
36%
36%
Clean sheets
64%
64%
64%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
12
11
Win %
9%
8%
9%
Goals per game
2.74
3.00
2.45
Scored
0.83
1.00
0.64
Conceded
1.91
2.00
1.82
Both teams scored
57%
75%
36%
Clean sheets
9%
0%
18%
Failed to score
39%
25%
55%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Inter
INT
Salernitana
SAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 22/22
96% 22/23
98%
–
Over 1.5
82% 18/22
83% 19/23
82%
74%
Over 2.5
50% 11/22
65% 15/23
58%
50%
Over 3.5
27% 6/22
26% 6/23
27%
24%
Over 4.5
9% 2/22
4% 1/23
7%
–
Under 2.5
50% 11/22
35% 8/23
42%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
36% 8/22
57% 13/23
46%
51%
BTTS & win
18% 4/22
4% 1/23
11%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
27% 6/22
48% 11/23
38%
–
Inter
INT
Salernitana
SAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
82% 18/22
74% 17/23
78%
–
Over 1.5
32% 7/22
39% 9/23
35%
–
Over 2.5
9% 2/22
4% 1/23
7%
–
BTTS
14% 3/22
22% 5/23
18%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.36 at home
0.64 away
Inter scored 26 in 11 home games
Salernitana scored 7 in 11 away games
Inter
INT
Salernitana
SAL
Scored over 0.5
100% 22/22
61% 14/23
Scored over 1.5
68% 15/22
22% 5/23
Scored over 2.5
32% 7/22
0% 0/23
Failed to score
0% 0/22
39% 9/23
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.55 at home
1.82 away
Inter conceded 6 in 11 home games
Salernitana conceded 20 in 11 away games
Inter
INT
Salernitana
SAL
Conceded over 0.5
36% 8/22
91% 21/23
Conceded over 1.5
9% 2/22
70% 16/23
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/22
22% 5/23
Clean sheets
64% 14/22
9% 2/23
Streaks
16
Unbeaten last loss 17 games ago
22
Scored all 22 this season
2
Clean sheets in a row
5
Longest win run this season
5
Without a win last win 6 games ago
Match Totals
Inter
INT
Salernitana
SAL
League
Corners
Corners won
5.89
4.57
–
Corners conceded
4.39
6.19
–
Match total
10.28
10.76
9.77
Over 8.5
72% 13/18
76% 16/21
–
Over 9.5
61% 11/18
76% 16/21
–
Over 10.5
44% 8/18
62% 13/21
–
Cards
Cards
1.41
2.52
–
Opponent cards
2.09
2.35
–
Match total
3.50
4.87
4.69
Over 3.5
55% 12/22
65% 15/23
–
Over 4.5
27% 6/22
48% 11/23
–
Shots
Shots
15.73
10.57
–
Opponent shots
10.23
14.78
–
Match total
25.95
25.35
25.17
Shots on target
On target
5.23
3.32
–
Opponent on target
2.77
5.50
–
Match total
8.00
8.82
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.27
12.57
–
Opponent fouls
10.77
13.00
–
Match total
22.05
25.57
–
Possession
All games
55%
44%
–
Home games
57%
43%
–
Away games
54%
44%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Inter
Scored · 51
16%
6%
25%
14%
12%
27%
Conceded · 10
0%
20%
10%
30%
40%
0%
Salernitana
Scored · 19
16%
11%
16%
21%
26%
10%
Conceded · 44
18%
11%
14%
18%
7%
32%
95%
Scored first
27%
27%
Goals after 75'
11%
Scored first: Inter 21 of 22, Salernitana 6 of 22 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
73%27%
Leading 16
Level 6
Trailing 0
2.45
points per game
At half-time
88%
14 of 16
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 242nd 27
At half-time
13%43%43%
Leading 3
Level 10
Trailing 10
0.83
points per game
At half-time
0%
0 of 3
Led at HT, won
20%
2 of 10
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 11
1
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 20 games
8
7
Points dropped from winning positions in 21 · 9 games
18
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
18
3
1
51
10
41
57
2
16
5
2
36
14
22
53
3
15
4
4
46
27
19
49
···
18
▼
4
6
13
21
42
-21
18
19
▼
4
6
13
15
36
-21
18
20
2
7
14
19
44
-25
13
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