Stats Prediction
Result probability
58%
24%
18%
Udinese 58%
Draw 24%
Cagliari 18%
1.7 – 0.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
13% chance
Most Likely Score
47%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Udinese · at home
Cagliari · away
1.25
Goals scored per game
0.58
1.58
Goals conceded per game
2.00
0.86x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.53x
1.45x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.37x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 23 + 23 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-1-1
vs Monza (H) 0-0 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs AS Roma (A) 4-0 · 5 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings
67%
22%
11%
Udinese wins 6
Draws 2
Cagliari wins 1
Goals 17 (1.89 per game)
Goals 5 (0.56 per game)
67%
6
of 9
Over 1.5 Goals
44%
4
of 9
Over 2.5 Goals
22%
2
of 9
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
4
of 9
Both Teams Scored
44%
4
of 9
Udinese Clean Sheets
22%
2
of 9
Cagliari Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 9 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
L
L
D
L
D
L
L
D
L
W
D
D
L
D
0.83
2-13-8
PPG Overall
0.83
1-7-4
PPG at Home
0.82
1-6-4
PPG Away
L
L
L
W
D
L
L
L
W
D
D
L
L
W
L
0.78
4-6-13
PPG Overall
1.36
4-3-4
PPG at Home
0.25
0-3-9
PPG Away
Venue form: Udinese at home +232% on points per game vs Cagliari away (0.83 vs 0.25)
Rest & Schedule
15
days rest
Udinese 0-0 Monza
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
13
days rest
AS Roma 4-0 Cagliari
1 game in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
12
11
Win %
9%
8%
9%
Goals per game
2.61
2.83
2.36
Scored
1.00
1.25
0.73
Conceded
1.61
1.58
1.64
Both teams scored
57%
58%
55%
Clean sheets
26%
25%
27%
Failed to score
35%
33%
36%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
11
12
Win %
17%
36%
0%
Goals per game
2.74
2.91
2.58
Scored
0.91
1.27
0.58
Conceded
1.83
1.64
2.00
Both teams scored
61%
73%
50%
Clean sheets
13%
18%
8%
Failed to score
39%
27%
50%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Udinese
UDI
Cagliari
CAG
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
83% 19/23
87% 20/23
85%
–
Over 1.5
78% 18/23
83% 19/23
80%
74%
Over 2.5
48% 11/23
61% 14/23
54%
50%
Over 3.5
35% 8/23
26% 6/23
30%
24%
Over 4.5
13% 3/23
9% 2/23
11%
–
Under 2.5
52% 12/23
39% 9/23
46%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
57% 13/23
61% 14/23
59%
51%
BTTS & win
0% 0/23
17% 4/23
9%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
35% 8/23
52% 12/23
43%
–
Udinese
UDI
Cagliari
CAG
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
65% 15/23
65% 15/23
65%
–
Over 1.5
30% 7/23
35% 8/23
33%
–
Over 2.5
17% 4/23
4% 1/23
11%
–
BTTS
13% 3/23
9% 2/23
11%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.25 at home
0.58 away
Udinese scored 15 in 12 home games
Cagliari scored 7 in 12 away games
Udinese
UDI
Cagliari
CAG
Scored over 0.5
65% 15/23
61% 14/23
Scored over 1.5
26% 6/23
22% 5/23
Scored over 2.5
9% 2/23
4% 1/23
Failed to score
35% 8/23
39% 9/23
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.58 at home
2.00 away
Udinese conceded 19 in 12 home games
Cagliari conceded 24 in 12 away games
Udinese
UDI
Cagliari
CAG
Conceded over 0.5
74% 17/23
87% 20/23
Conceded over 1.5
52% 12/23
61% 14/23
Conceded over 2.5
26% 6/23
26% 6/23
Clean sheets
26% 6/23
13% 3/23
Streaks
Match Totals
Udinese
UDI
Cagliari
CAG
League
Corners
Corners won
4.55
4.83
–
Corners conceded
6.23
6.22
–
Match total
10.77
11.04
9.77
Over 8.5
68% 15/22
65% 15/23
–
Over 9.5
64% 14/22
65% 15/23
–
Over 10.5
50% 11/22
61% 14/23
–
Cards
Cards
2.30
2.13
–
Opponent cards
2.17
2.30
–
Match total
4.48
4.43
4.69
Over 3.5
65% 15/23
57% 13/23
–
Over 4.5
43% 10/23
43% 10/23
–
Shots
Shots
12.61
12.57
–
Opponent shots
12.13
13.22
–
Match total
24.74
25.78
25.17
Shots on target
On target
4.30
3.64
–
Opponent on target
4.30
4.05
–
Match total
8.61
7.68
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.87
12.57
–
Opponent fouls
11.70
10.96
–
Match total
24.57
23.52
–
Possession
All games
40%
44%
–
Home games
42%
45%
–
Away games
38%
43%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Udinese
Scored · 23
4%
17%
13%
31%
22%
13%
Conceded · 37
8%
11%
30%
2%
11%
38%
Cagliari
Scored · 21
5%
14%
5%
5%
28%
43%
Conceded · 42
10%
21%
14%
24%
14%
17%
47%
Scored first
30%
13%
Goals after 75'
43%
Scored first: Udinese 9 of 19, Cagliari 6 of 20 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
22%39%39%
Leading 5
Level 9
Trailing 9
1.04
points per game
At half-time
20%
1 of 5
Led at HT, won
22%
2 of 9
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 15
At half-time
13%39%48%
Leading 3
Level 9
Trailing 11
0.78
points per game
At half-time
0%
0 of 3
Led at HT, won
27%
3 of 11
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 16
2
Points won from losing positions in 10 · 17 games
10
17
Points dropped from winning positions in 10 · 9 games
13
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
14
▼
6
5
12
31
44
-13
23
15
5
4
13
28
41
-13
19
16
▲
2
13
8
23
37
-14
19
17
▲
4
6
13
21
32
-11
18
18
▼
4
6
13
21
42
-21
18
19
▼
4
6
13
15
36
-21
18
20
2
7
14
19
44
-25
13
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