Stats Prediction
Result probability
53%
26%
21%
Lens 53%
Draw 26%
LE Havre 21%
1.5 – 0.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
15% chance
Most Likely Score
41%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
LEN · at home
HAV · away
1.56
Goals scored per game
1.00
0.89
Goals conceded per game
1.36
1.09x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.93x
0.83x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.95x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-1-2
vs Nantes (A) 0-1 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Monaco (A) 1-1 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
D
W
W
W
D
1.60
9-5-6
PPG Overall
1.89
5-2-2
PPG at Home
1.36
4-3-4
PPG Away
D
D
W
L
W
D
D
W
L
W
L
L
D
D
W
1.20
5-9-6
PPG Overall
1.56
4-2-3
PPG at Home
0.91
1-7-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Lens at home +108% on points per game vs LE Havre away (1.89 vs 0.91)
Rest & Schedule
64
days rest
Nantes 0-1 Lens
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
63
days rest
Monaco 1-1 LE Havre
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
9
11
Win %
45%
56%
36%
Goals per game
2.15
2.44
1.91
Scored
1.20
1.56
0.91
Conceded
0.95
0.89
1.00
Both teams scored
30%
44%
18%
Clean sheets
50%
33%
64%
Failed to score
35%
22%
45%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
9
11
Win %
25%
44%
9%
Goals per game
2.35
2.33
2.36
Scored
1.15
1.33
1.00
Conceded
1.20
1.00
1.36
Both teams scored
50%
44%
55%
Clean sheets
30%
33%
27%
Failed to score
45%
44%
45%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lens
LEN
LE Havre
HAV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
85% 17/20
75% 15/20
80%
–
Over 1.5
65% 13/20
70% 14/20
68%
72%
Over 2.5
35% 7/20
55% 11/20
45%
48%
Over 3.5
20% 4/20
25% 5/20
23%
26%
Over 4.5
10% 2/20
5% 1/20
8%
–
Under 2.5
65% 13/20
45% 9/20
55%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
30% 6/20
50% 10/20
40%
49%
BTTS & win
10% 2/20
20% 4/20
15%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
20% 4/20
45% 9/20
33%
–
Lens
LEN
LE Havre
HAV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
70% 14/20
60% 12/20
65%
–
Over 1.5
20% 4/20
25% 5/20
23%
–
Over 2.5
5% 1/20
10% 2/20
8%
–
BTTS
15% 3/20
15% 3/20
15%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.56 at home
1.00 away
Lens scored 14 in 9 home games
LE Havre scored 11 in 11 away games
Lens
LEN
LE Havre
HAV
Scored over 0.5
65% 13/20
55% 11/20
Scored over 1.5
35% 7/20
40% 8/20
Scored over 2.5
15% 3/20
20% 4/20
Failed to score
35% 7/20
45% 9/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.89 at home
1.36 away
Lens conceded 8 in 9 home games
LE Havre conceded 15 in 11 away games
Lens
LEN
LE Havre
HAV
Conceded over 0.5
50% 10/20
70% 14/20
Conceded over 1.5
30% 6/20
40% 8/20
Conceded over 2.5
15% 3/20
10% 2/20
Clean sheets
50% 10/20
30% 6/20
Streaks
Match Totals
Lens
LEN
LE Havre
HAV
League
Corners
Corners won
5.00
3.70
–
Corners conceded
4.21
4.95
–
Match total
9.21
8.65
9.45
Over 8.5
58% 11/19
45% 9/20
–
Over 9.5
47% 9/19
40% 8/20
–
Over 10.5
37% 7/19
30% 6/20
–
Cards
Cards
2.40
1.90
–
Opponent cards
1.95
1.95
–
Match total
4.35
3.85
3.98
Over 3.5
65% 13/20
60% 12/20
–
Over 4.5
50% 10/20
35% 7/20
–
Shots
Shots
13.90
10.90
–
Opponent shots
11.25
14.10
–
Match total
25.15
25.00
25.14
Shots on target
On target
5.00
4.38
–
Opponent on target
4.05
4.88
–
Match total
9.05
9.25
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.25
13.50
–
Opponent fouls
13.70
10.50
–
Match total
26.95
24.00
–
Possession
All games
52%
44%
–
Home games
51%
43%
–
Away games
53%
45%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lens
Scored · 24
12%
17%
12%
21%
17%
21%
Conceded · 19
5%
11%
32%
21%
5%
26%
LE Havre
Scored · 23
22%
4%
9%
22%
17%
26%
Conceded · 24
4%
29%
13%
29%
4%
21%
53%
Scored first
40%
21%
Goals after 75'
26%
Scored first: Lens 9 of 17, LE Havre 6 of 15 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
35%40%25%
Leading 7
Level 8
Trailing 5
1.45
points per game
At half-time
71%
5 of 7
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 14
At half-time
20%45%35%
Leading 4
Level 9
Trailing 7
1.05
points per game
At half-time
75%
3 of 4
Led at HT, won
14%
1 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 15
7
Points won from losing positions in 9 · 11 games
7
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 11 · 7 games
4
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
4
9
8
3
28
14
14
35
5
10
5
5
37
28
9
35
6
9
5
6
24
19
5
32
7
9
3
8
27
27
0
30
8
7
8
5
28
22
6
29
9
7
7
6
30
25
5
28
10
6
7
7
21
26
-5
25
11
5
9
6
23
24
-1
24
12
4
8
8
20
25
-5
20
13
4
8
8
19
27
-8
20
···
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