Stats Prediction
Result probability
75%
17%
8%
Stade Brestois 29 75%
Draw 17%
Metz 8%
2.3 – 0.6
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
15% chance
Most Likely Score
54%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
BRE · at home
MET · away
1.70
Goals scored per game
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded per game
1.90
1.19x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.84x
0.65x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.33x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Nice (H) 0-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-1-4-1
vs Lorient (H) 1-2 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
D
W
W
W
D
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
L
1.80
10-6-4
PPG Overall
1.90
5-4-1
PPG at Home
1.70
5-2-3
PPG Away
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
D
0.80
4-4-12
PPG Overall
0.60
1-3-6
PPG at Home
1.00
3-1-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Stade Brestois 29 at home +90% on points per game vs Metz away (1.90 vs 1.00)
Rest & Schedule
63
days rest
Stade Brestois 29 0-0 Nice
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
63
days rest
Metz 1-2 Lorient
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
50%
50%
50%
Goals per game
2.30
2.40
2.20
Scored
1.45
1.70
1.20
Conceded
0.85
0.70
1.00
Both teams scored
40%
40%
40%
Clean sheets
45%
60%
30%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
20%
10%
30%
Goals per game
2.40
2.00
2.80
Scored
0.85
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.55
1.20
1.90
Both teams scored
45%
40%
50%
Clean sheets
15%
10%
20%
Failed to score
45%
60%
30%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Metz
MET
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
85% 17/20
95% 19/20
90%
–
Over 1.5
70% 14/20
55% 11/20
63%
72%
Over 2.5
40% 8/20
45% 9/20
43%
48%
Over 3.5
25% 5/20
30% 6/20
28%
26%
Over 4.5
10% 2/20
10% 2/20
10%
–
Under 2.5
60% 12/20
55% 11/20
58%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 8/20
45% 9/20
43%
49%
BTTS & win
20% 4/20
10% 2/20
15%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
30% 6/20
40% 8/20
35%
–
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Metz
MET
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
65% 13/20
65% 13/20
65%
–
Over 1.5
25% 5/20
40% 8/20
33%
–
Over 2.5
15% 3/20
10% 2/20
13%
–
BTTS
10% 2/20
30% 6/20
20%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.70 at home
0.90 away
Stade Brestois 29 scored 17 in 10 home games
Metz scored 9 in 10 away games
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Metz
MET
Scored over 0.5
70% 14/20
55% 11/20
Scored over 1.5
50% 10/20
20% 4/20
Scored over 2.5
20% 4/20
10% 2/20
Failed to score
30% 6/20
45% 9/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.70 at home
1.90 away
Stade Brestois 29 conceded 7 in 10 home games
Metz conceded 19 in 10 away games
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Metz
MET
Conceded over 0.5
55% 11/20
85% 17/20
Conceded over 1.5
25% 5/20
45% 9/20
Conceded over 2.5
5% 1/20
15% 3/20
Clean sheets
45% 9/20
15% 3/20
Streaks
9
Unbeaten last loss 10 games ago
4
Longest win run this season
7
Lost in a row
10
Conceded in a row
2
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Metz
MET
League
Corners
Corners won
5.00
3.95
–
Corners conceded
4.76
5.05
–
Match total
9.76
9.00
9.45
Over 8.5
53% 9/17
55% 11/20
–
Over 9.5
53% 9/17
50% 10/20
–
Over 10.5
35% 6/17
35% 7/20
–
Cards
Cards
2.35
1.60
–
Opponent cards
1.85
1.30
–
Match total
4.20
2.90
3.98
Over 3.5
70% 14/20
40% 8/20
–
Over 4.5
35% 7/20
15% 3/20
–
Shots
Shots
14.50
9.30
–
Opponent shots
10.70
14.35
–
Match total
25.20
23.65
25.14
Shots on target
On target
5.05
3.25
–
Opponent on target
4.10
5.45
–
Match total
9.15
8.70
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.10
12.25
–
Opponent fouls
13.15
11.75
–
Match total
25.25
24.00
–
Possession
All games
53%
35%
–
Home games
55%
40%
–
Away games
52%
30%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Stade Brestois 29
Scored · 29
0%
21%
17%
34%
7%
21%
Conceded · 17
17%
35%
12%
12%
12%
12%
Metz
Scored · 17
23%
18%
6%
0%
35%
18%
Conceded · 31
19%
13%
16%
19%
7%
26%
53%
Scored first
37%
21%
Goals after 75'
18%
Scored first: Stade Brestois 29 9 of 17, Metz 7 of 19 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
25%35%40%
Leading 5
Level 7
Trailing 8
1.10
points per game
At half-time
80%
4 of 5
Led at HT, won
50%
4 of 8
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 112nd 18
At half-time
10%55%35%
Leading 2
Level 11
Trailing 7
0.85
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
29%
2 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 9
8
Points won from losing positions in 8 · 15 games
5
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 11 · 8 games
9
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
14
5
1
48
17
31
47
2
11
6
3
20
11
9
39
3
10
6
4
29
17
12
36
4
9
8
3
28
14
14
35
5
10
5
5
37
28
9
35
···
15
5
4
11
20
31
-11
19
16
3
7
10
26
42
-16
16
17
4
4
12
17
31
-14
16
18
3
6
11
14
32
-18
15
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