Stats Prediction
Result probability
84%
11%
Paris Saint Germain 84%
Draw 11%
Lyon 5%
2.9 – 0.6
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
12% chance
Most Likely Score
69%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Paris Saint Germain · at home
Lyon · away
2.70
Goals scored per game
0.67
1.00
Goals conceded per game
1.56
1.88x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.62x
0.93x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.09x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Strasbourg (A) 1-2 · 2 Feb 2024
Substitutes
42
Last game lineup
3-4-3
vs Marseille (H) 1-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
67%
33%
Paris Saint Germain wins 2
Draws 0
Lyon wins 1
Goals 5 (1.67 per game)
Goals 2 (0.67 per game)
33%
1
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Both Teams Scored
33%
1
of 3
Paris Saint Germain Clean Sheets
33%
1
of 3
Lyon Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
D
W
W
D
W
D
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
W
2.35
14-5-1
PPG Overall
2.30
7-2-1
PPG at Home
2.40
7-3-0
PPG Away
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
0.95
5-4-11
PPG Overall
1.09
3-3-5
PPG at Home
0.78
2-1-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Paris Saint Germain at home +195% on points per game vs Lyon away (2.30 vs 0.78)
Rest & Schedule
79
days rest
Strasbourg 1-2 Paris Saint Germain
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
77
days rest
Lyon 1-0 Marseille
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
70%
70%
70%
Goals per game
3.25
3.70
2.80
Scored
2.40
2.70
2.10
Conceded
0.85
1.00
0.70
Both teams scored
60%
60%
60%
Clean sheets
40%
40%
40%
Failed to score
10%
10%
10%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
11
9
Win %
25%
27%
22%
Goals per game
2.65
3.00
2.22
Scored
1.00
1.27
0.67
Conceded
1.65
1.73
1.56
Both teams scored
45%
55%
33%
Clean sheets
35%
36%
33%
Failed to score
30%
18%
44%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Paris Saint Germain
PAR
Lyon
LYO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 18/20
90% 18/20
90%
–
Over 1.5
90% 18/20
65% 13/20
78%
72%
Over 2.5
70% 14/20
50% 10/20
60%
48%
Over 3.5
45% 9/20
30% 6/20
38%
26%
Over 4.5
20% 4/20
25% 5/20
23%
–
Under 2.5
30% 6/20
50% 10/20
40%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 12/20
45% 9/20
53%
49%
BTTS & win
40% 8/20
0% 0/20
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
50% 10/20
40% 8/20
45%
–
Paris Saint Germain
PAR
Lyon
LYO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
75% 15/20
60% 12/20
68%
–
Over 1.5
40% 8/20
45% 9/20
43%
–
Over 2.5
15% 3/20
15% 3/20
15%
–
BTTS
15% 3/20
10% 2/20
13%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.70 at home
0.67 away
Paris Saint Germain scored 27 in 10 home games
Lyon scored 6 in 9 away games
Paris Saint Germain
PAR
Lyon
LYO
Scored over 0.5
90% 18/20
70% 14/20
Scored over 1.5
80% 16/20
20% 4/20
Scored over 2.5
50% 10/20
10% 2/20
Failed to score
10% 2/20
30% 6/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
1.56 away
Paris Saint Germain conceded 10 in 10 home games
Lyon conceded 14 in 9 away games
Paris Saint Germain
PAR
Lyon
LYO
Conceded over 0.5
60% 12/20
65% 13/20
Conceded over 1.5
20% 4/20
55% 11/20
Conceded over 2.5
5% 1/20
35% 7/20
Clean sheets
40% 8/20
35% 7/20
Streaks
15
Unbeaten last loss 16 games ago
13
Scored in a row
2
Conceded in a row
2
Both teams scored in a row
8
Longest win run this season
1
Won last game
6
Scored in a row
3
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Paris Saint Germain
PAR
Lyon
LYO
League
Corners
Corners won
5.21
4.70
–
Corners conceded
5.16
4.15
–
Match total
10.37
8.85
9.45
Over 8.5
68% 13/19
45% 9/20
–
Over 9.5
68% 13/19
35% 7/20
–
Over 10.5
53% 10/19
30% 6/20
–
Cards
Cards
1.40
2.00
–
Opponent cards
1.85
2.00
–
Match total
3.25
4.00
3.98
Over 3.5
45% 9/20
65% 13/20
–
Over 4.5
25% 5/20
25% 5/20
–
Shots
Shots
14.90
12.35
–
Opponent shots
12.65
12.80
–
Match total
27.55
25.15
25.14
Shots on target
On target
6.28
4.83
–
Opponent on target
4.67
5.33
–
Match total
10.94
10.17
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.20
13.95
–
Opponent fouls
11.80
11.40
–
Match total
22.00
25.35
–
Possession
All games
65%
51%
–
Home games
69%
52%
–
Away games
62%
50%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Paris Saint Germain
Scored · 48
10%
15%
25%
17%
10%
23%
Conceded · 17
0%
12%
6%
29%
29%
24%
Lyon
Scored · 20
5%
20%
10%
20%
20%
25%
Conceded · 33
6%
28%
24%
12%
18%
12%
94%
Scored first
33%
23%
Goals after 75'
25%
Scored first: Paris Saint Germain 17 of 18, Lyon 6 of 18 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
70%30%
Leading 14
Level 6
Trailing 0
2.40
points per game
At half-time
93%
13 of 14
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 242nd 24
At half-time
15%45%40%
Leading 3
Level 9
Trailing 8
0.90
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 8
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 13
0
Points won from losing positions in 1 · 13 games
2
6
Points dropped from winning positions in 17 · 7 games
5
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
14
5
1
48
17
31
47
2
11
6
3
20
11
9
39
3
10
6
4
29
17
12
36
···
12
4
8
8
20
25
-5
20
13
4
8
8
19
27
-8
20
14
5
4
11
20
33
-13
19
15
5
4
11
20
31
-11
19
16
3
7
10
26
42
-16
16
···
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