Stats Prediction
Result probability
31%
30%
39%
Nantes 31%
Draw 30%
Rennes 39%
1.0 – 1.1
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
14% chance
Most Likely Score
35%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
NAN · at home
REN · away
1.27
Goals scored per game
0.89
1.36
Goals conceded per game
1.11
0.89x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.83x
1.27x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.78x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-1-1
vs Lens (H) 0-1 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Montpellier (H) 2-1 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
100%
Nantes wins 0
Draws 0
Rennes wins 3
Goals 1 (0.33 per game)
Goals 7 (2.33 per game)
67%
2
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 3
Nantes Clean Sheets
67%
2
of 3
Rennes Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
D
L
L
L
L
D
L
L
L
L
W
D
L
L
0.95
5-4-11
PPG Overall
1.09
3-3-5
PPG at Home
0.78
2-1-6
PPG Away
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
L
L
W
L
L
1.40
7-7-6
PPG Overall
1.64
5-3-3
PPG at Home
1.11
2-4-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Rennes away +2% on points per game vs Nantes at home (1.11 vs 1.09)
Rest & Schedule
78
days rest
Nantes 0-1 Lens
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
78
days rest
Rennes 2-1 Montpellier
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
11
9
Win %
25%
27%
22%
Goals per game
2.55
2.64
2.44
Scored
1.00
1.27
0.67
Conceded
1.55
1.36
1.78
Both teams scored
45%
45%
44%
Clean sheets
25%
27%
22%
Failed to score
40%
36%
44%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
11
9
Win %
35%
45%
22%
Goals per game
2.75
3.36
2.00
Scored
1.50
2.00
0.89
Conceded
1.25
1.36
1.11
Both teams scored
65%
82%
44%
Clean sheets
20%
9%
33%
Failed to score
30%
9%
56%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Nantes
NAN
Rennes
REN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 18/20
85% 17/20
88%
–
Over 1.5
65% 13/20
80% 16/20
73%
72%
Over 2.5
45% 9/20
55% 11/20
50%
48%
Over 3.5
25% 5/20
40% 8/20
33%
26%
Over 4.5
10% 2/20
10% 2/20
10%
–
Under 2.5
55% 11/20
45% 9/20
50%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
45% 9/20
65% 13/20
55%
49%
BTTS & win
10% 2/20
30% 6/20
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 8/20
55% 11/20
48%
–
Nantes
NAN
Rennes
REN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
55% 11/20
75% 15/20
65%
–
Over 1.5
25% 5/20
35% 7/20
30%
–
Over 2.5
10% 2/20
15% 3/20
13%
–
BTTS
25% 5/20
25% 5/20
25%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.27 at home
0.89 away
Nantes scored 14 in 11 home games
Rennes scored 8 in 9 away games
Nantes
NAN
Rennes
REN
Scored over 0.5
60% 12/20
70% 14/20
Scored over 1.5
20% 4/20
45% 9/20
Scored over 2.5
10% 2/20
25% 5/20
Failed to score
40% 8/20
30% 6/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.36 at home
1.11 away
Nantes conceded 15 in 11 home games
Rennes conceded 10 in 9 away games
Nantes
NAN
Rennes
REN
Conceded over 0.5
75% 15/20
80% 16/20
Conceded over 1.5
50% 10/20
40% 8/20
Conceded over 2.5
25% 5/20
5% 1/20
Clean sheets
25% 5/20
20% 4/20
Streaks
Match Totals
Nantes
NAN
Rennes
REN
League
Corners
Corners won
5.05
5.05
–
Corners conceded
5.05
4.47
–
Match total
10.10
9.53
9.45
Over 8.5
60% 12/20
53% 10/19
–
Over 9.5
50% 10/20
37% 7/19
–
Over 10.5
45% 9/20
26% 5/19
–
Cards
Cards
2.00
2.00
–
Opponent cards
1.85
2.25
–
Match total
3.85
4.25
3.98
Over 3.5
60% 12/20
65% 13/20
–
Over 4.5
15% 3/20
35% 7/20
–
Shots
Shots
12.15
14.35
–
Opponent shots
13.25
11.80
–
Match total
25.40
26.15
25.14
Shots on target
On target
4.39
5.37
–
Opponent on target
5.67
4.53
–
Match total
10.06
9.89
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.60
11.45
–
Opponent fouls
11.40
13.00
–
Match total
24.00
24.45
–
Possession
All games
48%
52%
–
Home games
46%
51%
–
Away games
49%
54%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Nantes
Scored · 20
20%
5%
20%
40%
5%
10%
Conceded · 31
13%
13%
3%
20%
19%
32%
Rennes
Scored · 30
14%
17%
10%
23%
13%
23%
Conceded · 25
16%
4%
32%
12%
20%
16%
33%
Scored first
47%
10%
Goals after 75'
23%
Scored first: Nantes 6 of 18, Rennes 8 of 17 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%60%20%
Leading 4
Level 12
Trailing 4
1.20
points per game
At half-time
50%
2 of 4
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 92nd 11
At half-time
25%40%35%
Leading 5
Level 8
Trailing 7
1.15
points per game
At half-time
60%
3 of 5
Led at HT, won
43%
3 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 122nd 18
4
Points won from losing positions in 13 · 9 games
5
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 9 games
4
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
7
9
3
8
27
27
0
30
8
7
8
5
28
22
6
29
9
7
7
6
30
25
5
28
10
6
7
7
21
26
-5
25
11
5
9
6
23
24
-1
24
···
13
4
8
8
19
27
-8
20
14
5
4
11
20
33
-13
19
15
5
4
11
20
31
-11
19
16
3
7
10
26
42
-16
16
17
4
4
12
17
31
-14
16
···
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