Stats Prediction
Result probability
79%
18%
Nice 79%
Draw 18%
Lorient 3%
1.8 – 0.2
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
25% chance
Most Likely Score
33%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
13%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
NIC · at home
LOR · away
1.20
Goals scored per game
0.90
0.20
Goals conceded per game
2.20
0.84x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.84x
0.19x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.53x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Stade Brestois 29 (A) 0-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Metz (A) 1-2 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
67%
Nice wins 1
Draws 2
Lorient wins 0
Goals 4 (1.33 per game)
Goals 3 (1.00 per game)
100%
3
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
100%
3
of 3
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 3
Nice Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 3
Lorient Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
W
L
W
L
D
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
D
W
1.95
11-6-3
PPG Overall
2.40
7-3-0
PPG at Home
1.50
4-3-3
PPG Away
W
D
L
L
L
W
D
L
L
L
L
D
L
L
D
0.80
3-7-10
PPG Overall
1.00
2-4-4
PPG at Home
0.60
1-3-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Nice at home +300% on points per game vs Lorient away (2.40 vs 0.60)
Rest & Schedule
77
days rest
Stade Brestois 29 0-0 Nice
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
77
days rest
Metz 1-2 Lorient
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
55%
70%
40%
Goals per game
1.55
1.40
1.70
Scored
1.00
1.20
0.80
Conceded
0.55
0.20
0.90
Both teams scored
25%
20%
30%
Clean sheets
65%
80%
50%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
15%
20%
10%
Goals per game
3.40
3.70
3.10
Scored
1.30
1.70
0.90
Conceded
2.10
2.00
2.20
Both teams scored
60%
80%
40%
Clean sheets
10%
10%
10%
Failed to score
40%
20%
60%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Nice
NIC
Lorient
LOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 16/20
90% 18/20
85%
–
Over 1.5
45% 9/20
80% 16/20
63%
72%
Over 2.5
15% 3/20
70% 14/20
43%
48%
Over 3.5
10% 2/20
40% 8/20
25%
26%
Over 4.5
5% 1/20
30% 6/20
18%
–
Under 2.5
85% 17/20
30% 6/20
58%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
25% 5/20
60% 12/20
43%
49%
BTTS & win
10% 2/20
15% 3/20
13%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
15% 3/20
50% 10/20
33%
–
Nice
NIC
Lorient
LOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
40% 8/20
65% 13/20
53%
–
Over 1.5
10% 2/20
50% 10/20
30%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/20
25% 5/20
13%
–
BTTS
5% 1/20
40% 8/20
23%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.20 at home
0.90 away
Nice scored 12 in 10 home games
Lorient scored 9 in 10 away games
Nice
NIC
Lorient
LOR
Scored over 0.5
70% 14/20
60% 12/20
Scored over 1.5
25% 5/20
45% 9/20
Scored over 2.5
5% 1/20
20% 4/20
Failed to score
30% 6/20
40% 8/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
2.20 away
Nice conceded 2 in 10 home games
Lorient conceded 22 in 10 away games
Nice
NIC
Lorient
LOR
Conceded over 0.5
35% 7/20
90% 18/20
Conceded over 1.5
15% 3/20
55% 11/20
Conceded over 2.5
5% 1/20
45% 9/20
Clean sheets
65% 13/20
10% 2/20
Streaks
Match Totals
Nice
NIC
Lorient
LOR
League
Corners
Corners won
4.72
3.89
–
Corners conceded
3.06
5.61
–
Match total
7.78
9.50
9.45
Over 8.5
39% 7/18
50% 9/18
–
Over 9.5
33% 6/18
39% 7/18
–
Over 10.5
22% 4/18
33% 6/18
–
Cards
Cards
1.75
2.05
–
Opponent cards
2.00
1.80
–
Match total
3.75
3.85
3.98
Over 3.5
60% 12/20
55% 11/20
–
Over 4.5
25% 5/20
40% 8/20
–
Shots
Shots
13.20
8.95
–
Opponent shots
10.00
15.80
–
Match total
23.20
24.75
25.14
Shots on target
On target
4.53
3.94
–
Opponent on target
2.79
6.50
–
Match total
7.32
10.44
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.85
12.35
–
Opponent fouls
11.35
13.10
–
Match total
23.20
25.45
–
Possession
All games
54%
46%
–
Home games
52%
46%
–
Away games
55%
46%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Nice
Scored · 20
5%
10%
10%
15%
20%
40%
Conceded · 11
9%
18%
18%
18%
0%
37%
Lorient
Scored · 26
23%
12%
12%
19%
11%
23%
Conceded · 42
12%
21%
14%
12%
17%
24%
81%
Scored first
33%
40%
Goals after 75'
23%
Scored first: Nice 13 of 16, Lorient 6 of 18 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%65%15%
Leading 4
Level 13
Trailing 3
1.25
points per game
At half-time
75%
3 of 4
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 15
At half-time
15%55%30%
Leading 3
Level 11
Trailing 6
1.00
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
17%
1 of 6
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 122nd 14
0
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 15 games
5
4
Points dropped from winning positions in 13 · 8 games
12
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
14
5
1
48
17
31
47
2
11
6
3
20
11
9
39
3
10
6
4
29
17
12
36
4
9
8
3
28
14
14
35
···
14
5
4
11
20
33
-13
19
15
5
4
11
20
31
-11
19
16
3
7
10
26
42
-16
16
17
4
4
12
17
31
-14
16
18
3
6
11
14
32
-18
15
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