Stats Prediction
Result probability
66%
21%
13%
Lens 66%
Draw 21%
Clermont Foot 13%
2.0 – 0.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
13% chance
Most Likely Score
51%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
LEN · at home
CLE · away
1.56
Goals scored per game
0.90
0.89
Goals conceded per game
1.80
1.09x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.84x
0.83x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.26x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-1-2
vs Nantes (A) 0-1 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Lille (A) 4-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
100%
Lens wins 3
Draws 0
Clermont Foot wins 0
Goals 9 (3.00 per game)
Goals 1 (0.33 per game)
100%
3
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
3
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Both Teams Scored
67%
2
of 3
Lens Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 3
Clermont Foot Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
D
W
W
W
D
1.60
9-5-6
PPG Overall
1.89
5-2-2
PPG at Home
1.36
4-3-4
PPG Away
L
D
W
L
L
L
D
W
L
L
D
L
D
L
W
0.75
3-6-11
PPG Overall
0.60
1-3-6
PPG at Home
0.90
2-3-5
PPG Away
Venue form: Lens at home +110% on points per game vs Clermont Foot away (1.89 vs 0.90)
Rest & Schedule
78
days rest
Nantes 0-1 Lens
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
77
days rest
Lille 4-0 Clermont Foot
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
9
11
Win %
45%
56%
36%
Goals per game
2.15
2.44
1.91
Scored
1.20
1.56
0.91
Conceded
0.95
0.89
1.00
Both teams scored
30%
44%
18%
Clean sheets
50%
33%
64%
Failed to score
35%
22%
45%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
15%
10%
20%
Goals per game
2.30
1.90
2.70
Scored
0.70
0.50
0.90
Conceded
1.60
1.40
1.80
Both teams scored
45%
30%
60%
Clean sheets
20%
30%
10%
Failed to score
50%
60%
40%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lens
LEN
Clermont Foot
CLE
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
85% 17/20
85% 17/20
85%
–
Over 1.5
65% 13/20
65% 13/20
65%
72%
Over 2.5
35% 7/20
50% 10/20
43%
48%
Over 3.5
20% 4/20
20% 4/20
20%
26%
Over 4.5
10% 2/20
5% 1/20
8%
–
Under 2.5
65% 13/20
50% 10/20
58%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
30% 6/20
45% 9/20
38%
49%
BTTS & win
10% 2/20
10% 2/20
10%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
20% 4/20
35% 7/20
28%
–
Lens
LEN
Clermont Foot
CLE
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
70% 14/20
65% 13/20
68%
–
Over 1.5
20% 4/20
35% 7/20
28%
–
Over 2.5
5% 1/20
20% 4/20
13%
–
BTTS
15% 3/20
15% 3/20
15%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.56 at home
0.90 away
Lens scored 14 in 9 home games
Clermont Foot scored 9 in 10 away games
Lens
LEN
Clermont Foot
CLE
Scored over 0.5
65% 13/20
50% 10/20
Scored over 1.5
35% 7/20
20% 4/20
Scored over 2.5
15% 3/20
0% 0/20
Failed to score
35% 7/20
50% 10/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.89 at home
1.80 away
Lens conceded 8 in 9 home games
Clermont Foot conceded 18 in 10 away games
Lens
LEN
Clermont Foot
CLE
Conceded over 0.5
50% 10/20
80% 16/20
Conceded over 1.5
30% 6/20
45% 9/20
Conceded over 2.5
15% 3/20
25% 5/20
Clean sheets
50% 10/20
20% 4/20
Streaks
2
Won in a row
2
Scored in a row
2
Clean sheets in a row
3
Longest win run this season
2
Without a win last win 3 games ago
5
Conceded in a row
Match Totals
Lens
LEN
Clermont Foot
CLE
League
Corners
Corners won
5.00
4.44
–
Corners conceded
4.21
4.83
–
Match total
9.21
9.28
9.45
Over 8.5
58% 11/19
56% 10/18
–
Over 9.5
47% 9/19
39% 7/18
–
Over 10.5
37% 7/19
33% 6/18
–
Cards
Cards
2.40
1.95
–
Opponent cards
1.95
2.20
–
Match total
4.35
4.15
3.98
Over 3.5
65% 13/20
60% 12/20
–
Over 4.5
50% 10/20
35% 7/20
–
Shots
Shots
13.90
11.95
–
Opponent shots
11.25
15.35
–
Match total
25.15
27.30
25.14
Shots on target
On target
5.00
3.90
–
Opponent on target
4.05
6.60
–
Match total
9.05
10.50
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.25
12.10
–
Opponent fouls
13.70
13.35
–
Match total
26.95
25.45
–
Possession
All games
52%
50%
–
Home games
51%
51%
–
Away games
53%
50%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lens
Scored · 24
12%
17%
12%
21%
17%
21%
Conceded · 19
5%
11%
32%
21%
5%
26%
Clermont Foot
Scored · 14
29%
7%
22%
21%
7%
14%
Conceded · 32
19%
15%
19%
19%
9%
19%
53%
Scored first
35%
21%
Goals after 75'
14%
Scored first: Lens 9 of 17, Clermont Foot 6 of 17 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
35%40%25%
Leading 7
Level 8
Trailing 5
1.45
points per game
At half-time
71%
5 of 7
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 14
At half-time
20%35%45%
Leading 4
Level 7
Trailing 9
0.95
points per game
At half-time
50%
2 of 4
Led at HT, won
22%
2 of 9
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 6
7
Points won from losing positions in 9 · 13 games
2
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 11 · 6 games
8
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
4
9
8
3
28
14
14
35
5
10
5
5
37
28
9
35
6
9
5
6
24
19
5
32
7
9
3
8
27
27
0
30
8
7
8
5
28
22
6
29
···
16
3
7
10
26
42
-16
16
17
4
4
12
17
31
-14
16
18
3
6
11
14
32
-18
15
- Champions League (Group Stage) - Champions League (3rd Qualif. round) - Europa League (Group Stage) - Europa Conference League (Qualification) - Relegation play-offs - Relegation - Serie B
Latest Games
