Stats Prediction
Result probability
76%
19%
Lille 76%
Draw 19%
Strasbourg 5%
1.9 – 0.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
21% chance
Most Likely Score
37%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
22%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
LIL · at home
STR · away
1.80
Goals scored per game
0.80
0.40
Goals conceded per game
1.50
1.26x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.75x
0.37x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.05x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Clermont Foot (H) 4-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Paris Saint Germain (H) 1-2 · 2 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
67%
33%
Lille wins 2
Draws 0
Strasbourg wins 1
Goals 6 (2.00 per game)
Goals 2 (0.67 per game)
100%
3
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Both Teams Scored
67%
2
of 3
Lille Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 3
Strasbourg Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
D
D
W
W
D
D
1.75
9-8-3
PPG Overall
2.30
7-2-1
PPG at Home
1.20
2-6-2
PPG Away
L
D
D
W
W
L
D
D
W
W
W
D
L
D
D
1.25
6-7-7
PPG Overall
1.50
4-3-3
PPG at Home
1.00
2-4-4
PPG Away
Venue form: Lille at home +130% on points per game vs Strasbourg away (2.30 vs 1.00)
Rest & Schedule
77
days rest
Lille 4-0 Clermont Foot
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
79
days rest
Strasbourg 1-2 Paris Saint Germain
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
45%
70%
20%
Goals per game
2.10
2.20
2.00
Scored
1.40
1.80
1.00
Conceded
0.70
0.40
1.00
Both teams scored
40%
30%
50%
Clean sheets
60%
70%
50%
Failed to score
15%
0%
30%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
30%
40%
20%
Goals per game
2.35
2.40
2.30
Scored
1.05
1.30
0.80
Conceded
1.30
1.10
1.50
Both teams scored
65%
70%
60%
Clean sheets
15%
20%
10%
Failed to score
25%
20%
30%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lille
LIL
Strasbourg
STR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
85% 17/20
95% 19/20
90%
–
Over 1.5
75% 15/20
85% 17/20
80%
72%
Over 2.5
30% 6/20
50% 10/20
40%
48%
Over 3.5
15% 3/20
5% 1/20
10%
26%
Over 4.5
5% 1/20
0% 0/20
3%
–
Under 2.5
70% 14/20
50% 10/20
60%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 8/20
65% 13/20
53%
49%
BTTS & win
0% 0/20
20% 4/20
10%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
20% 4/20
40% 8/20
30%
–
Lille
LIL
Strasbourg
STR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
75% 15/20
75% 15/20
75%
–
Over 1.5
35% 7/20
30% 6/20
33%
–
Over 2.5
5% 1/20
0% 0/20
3%
–
BTTS
5% 1/20
10% 2/20
8%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.80 at home
0.80 away
Lille scored 18 in 10 home games
Strasbourg scored 8 in 10 away games
Lille
LIL
Strasbourg
STR
Scored over 0.5
85% 17/20
75% 15/20
Scored over 1.5
40% 8/20
30% 6/20
Scored over 2.5
10% 2/20
0% 0/20
Failed to score
15% 3/20
25% 5/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.40 at home
1.50 away
Lille conceded 4 in 10 home games
Strasbourg conceded 15 in 10 away games
Lille
LIL
Strasbourg
STR
Conceded over 0.5
40% 8/20
85% 17/20
Conceded over 1.5
20% 4/20
35% 7/20
Conceded over 2.5
5% 1/20
10% 2/20
Clean sheets
60% 12/20
15% 3/20
Streaks
3
Unbeaten last loss 4 games ago
3
Clean sheets in a row
2
Longest win run this season
3
Without a win last win 4 games ago
9
Scored in a row
9
Conceded in a row
9
Both teams scored in a row
3
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Lille
LIL
Strasbourg
STR
League
Corners
Corners won
5.70
3.37
–
Corners conceded
4.15
5.00
–
Match total
9.85
8.37
9.45
Over 8.5
55% 11/20
37% 7/19
–
Over 9.5
55% 11/20
32% 6/19
–
Over 10.5
40% 8/20
21% 4/19
–
Cards
Cards
1.90
1.70
–
Opponent cards
1.95
2.05
–
Match total
3.85
3.75
3.98
Over 3.5
55% 11/20
55% 11/20
–
Over 4.5
45% 9/20
20% 4/20
–
Shots
Shots
13.70
10.55
–
Opponent shots
8.75
12.25
–
Match total
22.45
22.80
25.14
Shots on target
On target
5.24
3.74
–
Opponent on target
3.71
3.37
–
Match total
8.94
7.11
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.70
13.70
–
Opponent fouls
15.40
12.55
–
Match total
26.10
26.25
–
Possession
All games
58%
41%
–
Home games
57%
40%
–
Away games
58%
43%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lille
Scored · 28
11%
14%
39%
7%
7%
22%
Conceded · 14
22%
14%
7%
0%
43%
14%
Strasbourg
Scored · 21
10%
5%
9%
9%
24%
43%
Conceded · 26
11%
19%
31%
27%
4%
8%
76%
Scored first
37%
21%
Goals after 75'
43%
Scored first: Lille 13 of 17, Strasbourg 7 of 19 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
55%30%15%
Leading 11
Level 6
Trailing 3
1.95
points per game
At half-time
73%
8 of 11
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 182nd 10
At half-time
15%35%50%
Leading 3
Level 7
Trailing 10
0.80
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
40%
4 of 10
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 16
2
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 12 games
7
9
Points dropped from winning positions in 13 · 8 games
4
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
2
11
6
3
20
11
9
39
3
10
6
4
29
17
12
36
4
9
8
3
28
14
14
35
5
10
5
5
37
28
9
35
6
9
5
6
24
19
5
32
···
8
7
8
5
28
22
6
29
9
7
7
6
30
25
5
28
10
6
7
7
21
26
-5
25
11
5
9
6
23
24
-1
24
12
4
8
8
20
25
-5
20
···
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