Stats Prediction
Result probability
59%
23%
18%
LE Havre 59%
Draw 23%
Metz 18%
1.8 – 0.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
13% chance
Most Likely Score
48%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
HAV · at home
MET · away
1.33
Goals scored per game
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded per game
1.90
0.93x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.84x
0.93x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.33x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Monaco (A) 1-1 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-1-4-1
vs Lorient (H) 1-2 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
D
W
L
W
D
D
W
L
W
L
L
D
D
W
1.20
5-9-6
PPG Overall
1.56
4-2-3
PPG at Home
0.91
1-7-3
PPG Away
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
D
0.80
4-4-12
PPG Overall
0.60
1-3-6
PPG at Home
1.00
3-1-6
PPG Away
Venue form: LE Havre at home +56% on points per game vs Metz away (1.56 vs 1.00)
Rest & Schedule
77
days rest
Monaco 1-1 LE Havre
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
77
days rest
Metz 1-2 Lorient
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
9
11
Win %
25%
44%
9%
Goals per game
2.35
2.33
2.36
Scored
1.15
1.33
1.00
Conceded
1.20
1.00
1.36
Both teams scored
50%
44%
55%
Clean sheets
30%
33%
27%
Failed to score
45%
44%
45%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
20%
10%
30%
Goals per game
2.40
2.00
2.80
Scored
0.85
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.55
1.20
1.90
Both teams scored
45%
40%
50%
Clean sheets
15%
10%
20%
Failed to score
45%
60%
30%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
LE Havre
HAV
Metz
MET
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
75% 15/20
95% 19/20
85%
–
Over 1.5
70% 14/20
55% 11/20
63%
72%
Over 2.5
55% 11/20
45% 9/20
50%
48%
Over 3.5
25% 5/20
30% 6/20
28%
26%
Over 4.5
5% 1/20
10% 2/20
8%
–
Under 2.5
45% 9/20
55% 11/20
50%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
50% 10/20
45% 9/20
48%
49%
BTTS & win
20% 4/20
10% 2/20
15%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
45% 9/20
40% 8/20
43%
–
LE Havre
HAV
Metz
MET
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
60% 12/20
65% 13/20
63%
–
Over 1.5
25% 5/20
40% 8/20
33%
–
Over 2.5
10% 2/20
10% 2/20
10%
–
BTTS
15% 3/20
30% 6/20
23%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.33 at home
0.90 away
LE Havre scored 12 in 9 home games
Metz scored 9 in 10 away games
LE Havre
HAV
Metz
MET
Scored over 0.5
55% 11/20
55% 11/20
Scored over 1.5
40% 8/20
20% 4/20
Scored over 2.5
20% 4/20
10% 2/20
Failed to score
45% 9/20
45% 9/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
1.90 away
LE Havre conceded 9 in 9 home games
Metz conceded 19 in 10 away games
LE Havre
HAV
Metz
MET
Conceded over 0.5
70% 14/20
85% 17/20
Conceded over 1.5
40% 8/20
45% 9/20
Conceded over 2.5
10% 2/20
15% 3/20
Clean sheets
30% 6/20
15% 3/20
Streaks
Match Totals
LE Havre
HAV
Metz
MET
League
Corners
Corners won
3.70
3.95
–
Corners conceded
4.95
5.05
–
Match total
8.65
9.00
9.45
Over 8.5
45% 9/20
55% 11/20
–
Over 9.5
40% 8/20
50% 10/20
–
Over 10.5
30% 6/20
35% 7/20
–
Cards
Cards
1.90
1.60
–
Opponent cards
1.95
1.30
–
Match total
3.85
2.90
3.98
Over 3.5
60% 12/20
40% 8/20
–
Over 4.5
35% 7/20
15% 3/20
–
Shots
Shots
10.90
9.30
–
Opponent shots
14.10
14.35
–
Match total
25.00
23.65
25.14
Shots on target
On target
4.38
3.25
–
Opponent on target
4.88
5.45
–
Match total
9.25
8.70
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.50
12.25
–
Opponent fouls
10.50
11.75
–
Match total
24.00
24.00
–
Possession
All games
44%
35%
–
Home games
43%
40%
–
Away games
45%
30%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
LE Havre
Scored · 23
22%
4%
9%
22%
17%
26%
Conceded · 24
4%
29%
13%
29%
4%
21%
Metz
Scored · 17
23%
18%
6%
0%
35%
18%
Conceded · 31
19%
13%
16%
19%
7%
26%
40%
Scored first
37%
26%
Goals after 75'
18%
Scored first: LE Havre 6 of 15, Metz 7 of 19 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%45%35%
Leading 4
Level 9
Trailing 7
1.05
points per game
At half-time
75%
3 of 4
Led at HT, won
14%
1 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 15
At half-time
10%55%35%
Leading 2
Level 11
Trailing 7
0.85
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
29%
2 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 9
7
Points won from losing positions in 11 · 15 games
5
4
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 8 games
9
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
9
7
7
6
30
25
5
28
10
6
7
7
21
26
-5
25
11
5
9
6
23
24
-1
24
12
4
8
8
20
25
-5
20
13
4
8
8
19
27
-8
20
···
15
5
4
11
20
31
-11
19
16
3
7
10
26
42
-16
16
17
4
4
12
17
31
-14
16
18
3
6
11
14
32
-18
15
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