Stats Prediction
Result probability
16%
16%
68%
Sassuolo 16%
Draw 16%
AC Milan 68%
1.5 – 3.0
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-2
8% chance
Most Likely Score
82%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Sassuolo · at home
AC Milan · away
1.30
Goals scored per game
2.17
1.50
Goals conceded per game
1.67
0.89x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.98x
1.37x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.14x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 22 + 23 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Bologna (A) 4-2 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Frosinone (A) 2-3 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
30%
20%
50%
Sassuolo wins 3
Draws 2
AC Milan wins 5
Goals 12 (1.20 per game)
Goals 13 (1.30 per game)
60%
6
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
2
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
5
of 10
Both Teams Scored
20%
2
of 10
Sassuolo Clean Sheets
50%
5
of 10
AC Milan Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
D
L
L
W
0.86
5-4-13
PPG Overall
1.10
3-2-5
PPG at Home
0.67
2-2-8
PPG Away
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
L
W
2.13
15-4-4
PPG Overall
2.27
8-1-2
PPG at Home
2.00
7-3-2
PPG Away
Venue form: AC Milan away +82% on points per game vs Sassuolo at home (2.00 vs 1.10)
Rest & Schedule
71
days rest
Bologna 4-2 Sassuolo
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
71
days rest
Frosinone 2-3 AC Milan
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
10
12
Win %
23%
30%
17%
Goals per game
3.14
2.80
3.42
Scored
1.27
1.30
1.25
Conceded
1.86
1.50
2.17
Both teams scored
64%
60%
67%
Clean sheets
5%
10%
0%
Failed to score
32%
30%
33%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
11
12
Win %
65%
73%
58%
Goals per game
3.17
2.45
3.83
Scored
2.00
1.82
2.17
Conceded
1.17
0.64
1.67
Both teams scored
57%
36%
75%
Clean sheets
35%
45%
25%
Failed to score
9%
18%
0%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Sassuolo
SAS
AC Milan
AC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 22/22
100% 23/23
100%
–
Over 1.5
82% 18/22
74% 17/23
78%
74%
Over 2.5
59% 13/22
65% 15/23
62%
50%
Over 3.5
32% 7/22
52% 12/23
42%
24%
Over 4.5
18% 4/22
22% 5/23
20%
–
Under 2.5
41% 9/22
35% 8/23
38%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
64% 14/22
57% 13/23
60%
51%
BTTS & win
18% 4/22
30% 7/23
24%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
55% 12/22
57% 13/23
56%
–
Sassuolo
SAS
AC Milan
AC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
86% 19/22
78% 18/23
82%
–
Over 1.5
41% 9/22
57% 13/23
49%
–
Over 2.5
23% 5/22
9% 2/23
16%
–
BTTS
32% 7/22
30% 7/23
31%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.30 at home
2.17 away
Sassuolo scored 13 in 10 home games
AC Milan scored 26 in 12 away games
Sassuolo
SAS
AC Milan
AC
Scored over 0.5
68% 15/22
91% 21/23
Scored over 1.5
36% 8/22
70% 16/23
Scored over 2.5
14% 3/22
35% 8/23
Failed to score
32% 7/22
9% 2/23
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.50 at home
1.67 away
Sassuolo conceded 15 in 10 home games
AC Milan conceded 20 in 12 away games
Sassuolo
SAS
AC Milan
AC
Conceded over 0.5
95% 21/22
65% 15/23
Conceded over 1.5
64% 14/22
35% 8/23
Conceded over 2.5
18% 4/22
9% 2/23
Clean sheets
5% 1/22
35% 8/23
Streaks
Match Totals
Sassuolo
SAS
AC Milan
AC
League
Corners
Corners won
5.00
4.68
–
Corners conceded
6.05
4.23
–
Match total
11.05
8.91
9.77
Over 8.5
86% 18/21
55% 12/22
–
Over 9.5
67% 14/21
41% 9/22
–
Over 10.5
67% 14/21
32% 7/22
–
Cards
Cards
2.14
2.57
–
Opponent cards
1.64
2.52
–
Match total
3.77
5.09
4.69
Over 3.5
59% 13/22
74% 17/23
–
Over 4.5
41% 9/22
57% 13/23
–
Shots
Shots
13.32
13.48
–
Opponent shots
14.45
14.09
–
Match total
27.77
27.57
25.17
Shots on target
On target
4.55
5.04
–
Opponent on target
4.64
4.13
–
Match total
9.18
9.17
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.05
11.39
–
Opponent fouls
11.05
11.35
–
Match total
21.09
22.74
–
Possession
All games
45%
56%
–
Home games
45%
53%
–
Away games
45%
60%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Sassuolo
Scored · 28
25%
22%
14%
7%
18%
14%
Conceded · 41
12%
15%
15%
10%
14%
34%
AC Milan
Scored · 46
13%
11%
30%
15%
7%
24%
Conceded · 27
4%
11%
19%
7%
37%
22%
41%
Scored first
74%
14%
Goals after 75'
24%
Scored first: Sassuolo 9 of 22, AC Milan 17 of 23 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
41%27%32%
Leading 9
Level 6
Trailing 7
1.50
points per game
At half-time
33%
3 of 9
Led at HT, won
43%
3 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 172nd 11
At half-time
52%43%4%
Leading 12
Level 10
Trailing 1
2.00
points per game
At half-time
83%
10 of 12
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 252nd 21
9
Points won from losing positions in 18 · 9 games
11
17
Points dropped from winning positions in 11 · 19 games
8
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
18
3
1
51
10
41
57
2
16
5
2
36
14
22
53
3
15
4
4
46
27
19
49
4
▲
12
3
7
40
22
18
39
5
▼
11
5
7
40
26
14
38
···
13
5
9
9
24
33
-9
24
14
▼
6
5
12
31
44
-13
23
15
5
4
13
28
41
-13
19
16
▲
2
13
8
23
37
-14
19
17
▲
4
6
13
21
32
-11
18
···
- Champions League (Group Stage) - Europa League (Group Stage) - Europa Conference League (Qualification) - Relegation - Serie B
Latest Games
