Stats Prediction
Result probability
66%
24%
10%
Bologna 66%
Draw 24%
Monza 10%
1.6 – 0.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
21% chance
Most Likely Score
33%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
28%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Bologna · at home
Monza · away
1.64
Goals scored per game
0.75
0.64
Goals conceded per game
1.42
1.12x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.69x
0.58x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.97x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 22 + 23 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Sassuolo (H) 4-2 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Udinese (A) 0-0 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
33%
33%
Bologna wins 1
Draws 1
Monza wins 1
Goals 2 (0.67 per game)
Goals 2 (0.67 per game)
33%
1
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Both Teams Scored
33%
1
of 3
Bologna Clean Sheets
67%
2
of 3
Monza Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
D
L
D
L
W
D
L
D
L
W
W
W
D
W
1.64
9-9-4
PPG Overall
2.36
8-2-1
PPG at Home
0.91
1-7-3
PPG Away
D
W
L
L
W
D
W
L
L
W
D
L
L
W
L
1.26
7-8-8
PPG Overall
1.45
4-4-3
PPG at Home
1.08
3-4-5
PPG Away
Venue form: Bologna at home +119% on points per game vs Monza away (2.36 vs 1.08)
Rest & Schedule
71
days rest
Bologna 4-2 Sassuolo
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
71
days rest
Udinese 0-0 Monza
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
11
11
Win %
41%
73%
9%
Goals per game
2.32
2.27
2.36
Scored
1.32
1.64
1.00
Conceded
1.00
0.64
1.36
Both teams scored
55%
36%
73%
Clean sheets
36%
55%
18%
Failed to score
23%
18%
27%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
11
12
Win %
30%
36%
25%
Goals per game
2.13
2.09
2.17
Scored
0.91
1.09
0.75
Conceded
1.22
1.00
1.42
Both teams scored
39%
45%
33%
Clean sheets
35%
45%
25%
Failed to score
39%
18%
58%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Bologna
BOL
Monza
MON
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
86% 19/22
87% 20/23
87%
–
Over 1.5
77% 17/22
65% 15/23
71%
74%
Over 2.5
45% 10/22
35% 8/23
40%
50%
Over 3.5
14% 3/22
13% 3/23
13%
24%
Over 4.5
5% 1/22
9% 2/23
7%
–
Under 2.5
55% 12/22
65% 15/23
60%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
55% 12/22
39% 9/23
47%
51%
BTTS & win
18% 4/22
9% 2/23
13%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
36% 8/22
17% 4/23
27%
–
Bologna
BOL
Monza
MON
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
68% 15/22
70% 16/23
69%
–
Over 1.5
41% 9/22
35% 8/23
38%
–
Over 2.5
9% 2/22
0% 0/23
5%
–
BTTS
27% 6/22
9% 2/23
18%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.64 at home
0.75 away
Bologna scored 18 in 11 home games
Monza scored 9 in 12 away games
Bologna
BOL
Monza
MON
Scored over 0.5
77% 17/22
61% 14/23
Scored over 1.5
41% 9/22
17% 4/23
Scored over 2.5
9% 2/22
13% 3/23
Failed to score
23% 5/22
39% 9/23
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.64 at home
1.42 away
Bologna conceded 7 in 11 home games
Monza conceded 17 in 12 away games
Bologna
BOL
Monza
MON
Conceded over 0.5
64% 14/22
65% 15/23
Conceded over 1.5
32% 7/22
30% 7/23
Conceded over 2.5
5% 1/22
17% 4/23
Clean sheets
36% 8/22
35% 8/23
Streaks
Match Totals
Bologna
BOL
Monza
MON
League
Corners
Corners won
4.10
4.96
–
Corners conceded
4.80
4.87
–
Match total
8.90
9.83
9.77
Over 8.5
45% 9/20
70% 16/23
–
Over 9.5
30% 6/20
57% 13/23
–
Over 10.5
25% 5/20
48% 11/23
–
Cards
Cards
2.50
2.43
–
Opponent cards
3.41
2.00
–
Match total
5.91
4.43
4.69
Over 3.5
91% 20/22
57% 13/23
–
Over 4.5
68% 15/22
30% 7/23
–
Shots
Shots
11.95
12.22
–
Opponent shots
10.86
14.96
–
Match total
22.82
27.17
25.17
Shots on target
On target
4.27
3.52
–
Opponent on target
3.36
5.13
–
Match total
7.64
8.65
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.23
11.65
–
Opponent fouls
13.14
11.13
–
Match total
25.36
22.78
–
Possession
All games
58%
55%
–
Home games
58%
56%
–
Away games
57%
54%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Bologna
Scored · 29
7%
31%
7%
17%
10%
28%
Conceded · 22
18%
23%
18%
14%
14%
13%
Monza
Scored · 21
5%
19%
24%
9%
24%
19%
Conceded · 28
36%
0%
14%
11%
11%
28%
63%
Scored first
40%
28%
Goals after 75'
19%
Scored first: Bologna 12 of 19, Monza 8 of 20 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
23%50%27%
Leading 5
Level 11
Trailing 6
1.18
points per game
At half-time
80%
4 of 5
Led at HT, won
67%
4 of 6
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 132nd 16
At half-time
26%39%35%
Leading 6
Level 9
Trailing 8
1.17
points per game
At half-time
83%
5 of 6
Led at HT, won
13%
1 of 8
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 11
9
Points won from losing positions in 9 · 12 games
4
11
Points dropped from winning positions in 14 · 8 games
2
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
4
▲
12
3
7
40
22
18
39
5
▼
11
5
7
40
26
14
38
6
▼
9
9
4
29
22
7
36
7
10
5
7
32
26
6
35
8
▲
10
4
8
25
23
2
34
9
▼
10
4
8
31
25
6
34
10
▲
8
8
6
20
19
1
32
11
▼
7
8
8
21
28
-7
29
12
▲
7
8
8
24
26
-2
29
13
5
9
9
24
33
-9
24
···
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