Stats Prediction
Result probability
62%
28%
10%
Lazio 62%
Draw 28%
Salernitana 10%
1.4 – 0.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
24% chance
Most Likely Score
25%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
23%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Lazio · at home
Salernitana · away
1.09
Goals scored per game
0.64
0.64
Goals conceded per game
1.82
0.75x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.58x
0.58x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.25x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 22 + 23 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Atalanta (A) 3-1 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Torino (A) 0-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
11
65
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings
60%
40%
Lazio wins 3
Draws 0
Salernitana wins 2
Goals 10 (2.00 per game)
Goals 5 (1.00 per game)
100%
5
of 5
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
4
of 5
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
1
of 5
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
2
of 5
Both Teams Scored
60%
3
of 5
Lazio Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 5
Salernitana Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 5 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
D
W
W
W
L
D
W
W
W
W
L
D
W
L
1.55
10-4-8
PPG Overall
1.91
6-3-2
PPG at Home
1.18
4-1-6
PPG Away
D
L
L
L
L
D
L
L
L
L
W
D
L
L
L
0.57
2-7-14
PPG Overall
0.58
1-4-7
PPG at Home
0.55
1-3-7
PPG Away
Venue form: Lazio at home +247% on points per game vs Salernitana away (1.91 vs 0.55)
Rest & Schedule
70
days rest
Atalanta 3-1 Lazio
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
70
days rest
Torino 0-0 Salernitana
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
11
11
Win %
45%
55%
36%
Goals per game
2.18
1.73
2.64
Scored
1.14
1.09
1.18
Conceded
1.05
0.64
1.45
Both teams scored
45%
27%
64%
Clean sheets
36%
55%
18%
Failed to score
27%
36%
18%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
12
11
Win %
9%
8%
9%
Goals per game
2.74
3.00
2.45
Scored
0.83
1.00
0.64
Conceded
1.91
2.00
1.82
Both teams scored
57%
75%
36%
Clean sheets
9%
0%
18%
Failed to score
39%
25%
55%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lazio
LAZ
Salernitana
SAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
91% 20/22
96% 22/23
93%
–
Over 1.5
68% 15/22
83% 19/23
75%
74%
Over 2.5
36% 8/22
65% 15/23
51%
50%
Over 3.5
18% 4/22
26% 6/23
22%
24%
Over 4.5
5% 1/22
4% 1/23
4%
–
Under 2.5
64% 14/22
35% 8/23
49%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
45% 10/22
57% 13/23
51%
51%
BTTS & win
18% 4/22
4% 1/23
11%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
36% 8/22
48% 11/23
42%
–
Lazio
LAZ
Salernitana
SAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
64% 14/22
74% 17/23
69%
–
Over 1.5
27% 6/22
39% 9/23
33%
–
Over 2.5
5% 1/22
4% 1/23
4%
–
BTTS
14% 3/22
22% 5/23
18%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.09 at home
0.64 away
Lazio scored 12 in 11 home games
Salernitana scored 7 in 11 away games
Lazio
LAZ
Salernitana
SAL
Scored over 0.5
73% 16/22
61% 14/23
Scored over 1.5
32% 7/22
22% 5/23
Scored over 2.5
9% 2/22
0% 0/23
Failed to score
27% 6/22
39% 9/23
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.64 at home
1.82 away
Lazio conceded 7 in 11 home games
Salernitana conceded 20 in 11 away games
Lazio
LAZ
Salernitana
SAL
Conceded over 0.5
64% 14/22
91% 21/23
Conceded over 1.5
32% 7/22
70% 16/23
Conceded over 2.5
9% 2/22
22% 5/23
Clean sheets
36% 8/22
9% 2/23
Streaks
2
Without a win last win 3 games ago
4
Longest win run this season
5
Without a win last win 6 games ago
Match Totals
Lazio
LAZ
Salernitana
SAL
League
Corners
Corners won
5.19
4.57
–
Corners conceded
4.24
6.19
–
Match total
9.43
10.76
9.77
Over 8.5
38% 8/21
76% 16/21
–
Over 9.5
33% 7/21
76% 16/21
–
Over 10.5
29% 6/21
62% 13/21
–
Cards
Cards
2.64
2.52
–
Opponent cards
2.73
2.35
–
Match total
5.36
4.87
4.69
Over 3.5
86% 19/22
65% 15/23
–
Over 4.5
77% 17/22
48% 11/23
–
Shots
Shots
11.05
10.57
–
Opponent shots
12.14
14.78
–
Match total
23.18
25.35
25.17
Shots on target
On target
3.38
3.32
–
Opponent on target
3.81
5.50
–
Match total
7.19
8.82
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.23
12.57
–
Opponent fouls
12.23
13.00
–
Match total
24.45
25.57
–
Possession
All games
52%
44%
–
Home games
52%
43%
–
Away games
53%
44%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lazio
Scored · 25
24%
16%
8%
12%
20%
20%
Conceded · 23
4%
13%
22%
22%
22%
17%
Salernitana
Scored · 19
16%
11%
16%
21%
26%
10%
Conceded · 44
18%
11%
14%
18%
7%
32%
65%
Scored first
27%
20%
Goals after 75'
11%
Scored first: Lazio 13 of 20, Salernitana 6 of 22 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
36%45%18%
Leading 8
Level 10
Trailing 4
1.55
points per game
At half-time
63%
5 of 8
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 122nd 13
At half-time
13%43%43%
Leading 3
Level 10
Trailing 10
0.83
points per game
At half-time
0%
0 of 3
Led at HT, won
20%
2 of 10
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 11
3
Points won from losing positions in 9 · 20 games
8
10
Points dropped from winning positions in 14 · 9 games
18
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
6
▼
9
9
4
29
22
7
36
7
10
5
7
32
26
6
35
8
▲
10
4
8
25
23
2
34
9
▼
10
4
8
31
25
6
34
10
▲
8
8
6
20
19
1
32
···
18
▼
4
6
13
21
42
-21
18
19
▼
4
6
13
15
36
-21
18
20
2
7
14
19
44
-25
13
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