Stats Prediction
Result probability
79%
15%
Atalanta 79%
Draw 15%
Verona 6%
2.3 – 0.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
17% chance
Most Likely Score
52%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Atalanta · at home
Verona · away
2.25
Goals scored per game
0.75
0.67
Goals conceded per game
1.50
1.54x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.69x
0.61x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.03x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 22 + 23 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-1-2
vs Lazio (H) 3-1 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Napoli (A) 2-1 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings
67%
11%
22%
Atalanta wins 6
Draws 1
Verona wins 2
Goals 14 (1.56 per game)
Goals 9 (1.00 per game)
78%
7
of 9
Over 1.5 Goals
44%
4
of 9
Over 2.5 Goals
22%
2
of 9
Over 3.5 Goals
56%
5
of 9
Both Teams Scored
33%
3
of 9
Atalanta Clean Sheets
11%
1
of 9
Verona Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 9 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
L
W
W
L
L
1.77
12-3-7
PPG Overall
2.33
9-1-2
PPG at Home
1.10
3-2-5
PPG Away
L
D
L
W
L
L
D
L
W
L
L
W
L
D
D
0.78
4-6-13
PPG Overall
1.18
3-4-4
PPG at Home
0.42
1-2-9
PPG Away
Venue form: Atalanta at home +455% on points per game vs Verona away (2.33 vs 0.42)
Rest & Schedule
70
days rest
Atalanta 3-1 Lazio
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
70
days rest
Napoli 2-1 Verona
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
12
10
Win %
55%
75%
30%
Goals per game
2.82
2.92
2.70
Scored
1.82
2.25
1.30
Conceded
1.00
0.67
1.40
Both teams scored
45%
42%
50%
Clean sheets
45%
58%
30%
Failed to score
14%
8%
20%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
11
12
Win %
17%
27%
8%
Goals per game
2.30
2.36
2.25
Scored
0.91
1.09
0.75
Conceded
1.39
1.27
1.50
Both teams scored
57%
64%
50%
Clean sheets
17%
18%
17%
Failed to score
35%
27%
42%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Atalanta
ATA
Verona
VER
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
95% 21/22
91% 21/23
93%
–
Over 1.5
82% 18/22
61% 14/23
71%
74%
Over 2.5
55% 12/22
48% 11/23
51%
50%
Over 3.5
27% 6/22
22% 5/23
25%
24%
Over 4.5
23% 5/22
4% 1/23
14%
–
Under 2.5
45% 10/22
52% 12/23
49%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
45% 10/22
57% 13/23
51%
51%
BTTS & win
14% 3/22
9% 2/23
11%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
36% 8/22
48% 11/23
42%
–
Atalanta
ATA
Verona
VER
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
77% 17/22
65% 15/23
71%
–
Over 1.5
45% 10/22
22% 5/23
34%
–
Over 2.5
14% 3/22
4% 1/23
9%
–
BTTS
18% 4/22
9% 2/23
13%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.25 at home
0.75 away
Atalanta scored 27 in 12 home games
Verona scored 9 in 12 away games
Atalanta
ATA
Verona
VER
Scored over 0.5
86% 19/22
65% 15/23
Scored over 1.5
55% 12/22
22% 5/23
Scored over 2.5
27% 6/22
4% 1/23
Failed to score
14% 3/22
35% 8/23
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.67 at home
1.50 away
Atalanta conceded 8 in 12 home games
Verona conceded 18 in 12 away games
Atalanta
ATA
Verona
VER
Conceded over 0.5
55% 12/22
83% 19/23
Conceded over 1.5
32% 7/22
39% 9/23
Conceded over 2.5
14% 3/22
17% 4/23
Clean sheets
45% 10/22
17% 4/23
Streaks
Match Totals
Atalanta
ATA
Verona
VER
League
Corners
Corners won
5.82
3.55
–
Corners conceded
4.05
5.64
–
Match total
9.86
9.18
9.77
Over 8.5
64% 14/22
45% 10/22
–
Over 9.5
55% 12/22
45% 10/22
–
Over 10.5
32% 7/22
41% 9/22
–
Cards
Cards
2.00
2.48
–
Opponent cards
1.91
2.30
–
Match total
3.91
4.78
4.69
Over 3.5
55% 12/22
83% 19/23
–
Over 4.5
36% 8/22
57% 13/23
–
Shots
Shots
14.41
11.30
–
Opponent shots
11.09
13.48
–
Match total
25.50
24.78
25.17
Shots on target
On target
5.33
3.86
–
Opponent on target
3.67
4.73
–
Match total
9.00
8.59
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.59
13.43
–
Opponent fouls
10.41
13.00
–
Match total
23.00
26.43
–
Possession
All games
52%
44%
–
Home games
52%
43%
–
Away games
51%
45%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Atalanta
Scored · 40
15%
8%
20%
20%
10%
27%
Conceded · 22
18%
9%
32%
9%
0%
32%
Verona
Scored · 21
9%
0%
19%
19%
24%
29%
Conceded · 32
13%
22%
12%
12%
22%
19%
62%
Scored first
29%
28%
Goals after 75'
29%
Scored first: Atalanta 13 of 21, Verona 6 of 21 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
32%32%36%
Leading 7
Level 7
Trailing 8
1.27
points per game
At half-time
100%
7 of 7
Led at HT, won
25%
2 of 8
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 172nd 23
At half-time
13%39%48%
Leading 3
Level 9
Trailing 11
0.78
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
18%
2 of 11
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 62nd 15
4
Points won from losing positions in 9 · 16 games
3
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 14 · 6 games
5
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
2
16
5
2
36
14
22
53
3
15
4
4
46
27
19
49
4
▲
12
3
7
40
22
18
39
5
▼
11
5
7
40
26
14
38
6
▼
9
9
4
29
22
7
36
···
15
5
4
13
28
41
-13
19
16
▲
2
13
8
23
37
-14
19
17
▲
4
6
13
21
32
-11
18
18
▼
4
6
13
21
42
-21
18
19
▼
4
6
13
15
36
-21
18
···
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