Stats Prediction
Result probability
92%
Inter 92%
Draw 6%
Cagliari 2%
3.2 – 0.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
3-0
17% chance
Most Likely Score
68%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
24%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Inter · at home
Cagliari · away
2.36
Goals scored per game
0.58
0.55
Goals conceded per game
2.00
1.62x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.53x
0.50x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.37x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 22 + 23 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Juventus (H) 1-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs AS Roma (A) 4-0 · 5 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
80%
10%
10%
Inter wins 8
Draws 1
Cagliari wins 1
Goals 23 (2.30 per game)
Goals 7 (0.70 per game)
90%
9
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
4
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Both Teams Scored
40%
4
of 10
Inter Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 10
Cagliari Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
2.59
18-3-1
PPG Overall
2.55
9-1-1
PPG at Home
2.64
9-2-0
PPG Away
L
L
L
W
D
L
L
L
W
D
D
L
L
W
L
0.78
4-6-13
PPG Overall
1.36
4-3-4
PPG at Home
0.25
0-3-9
PPG Away
Venue form: Inter at home +920% on points per game vs Cagliari away (2.55 vs 0.25)
Rest & Schedule
70
days rest
Inter 1-0 Juventus
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
69
days rest
AS Roma 4-0 Cagliari
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
11
11
Win %
82%
82%
82%
Goals per game
2.77
2.91
2.64
Scored
2.32
2.36
2.27
Conceded
0.45
0.55
0.36
Both teams scored
36%
36%
36%
Clean sheets
64%
64%
64%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
11
12
Win %
17%
36%
0%
Goals per game
2.74
2.91
2.58
Scored
0.91
1.27
0.58
Conceded
1.83
1.64
2.00
Both teams scored
61%
73%
50%
Clean sheets
13%
18%
8%
Failed to score
39%
27%
50%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Inter
INT
Cagliari
CAG
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 22/22
87% 20/23
93%
–
Over 1.5
82% 18/22
83% 19/23
82%
74%
Over 2.5
50% 11/22
61% 14/23
55%
50%
Over 3.5
27% 6/22
26% 6/23
27%
24%
Over 4.5
9% 2/22
9% 2/23
9%
–
Under 2.5
50% 11/22
39% 9/23
45%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
36% 8/22
61% 14/23
49%
51%
BTTS & win
18% 4/22
17% 4/23
18%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
27% 6/22
52% 12/23
40%
–
Inter
INT
Cagliari
CAG
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
82% 18/22
65% 15/23
74%
–
Over 1.5
32% 7/22
35% 8/23
33%
–
Over 2.5
9% 2/22
4% 1/23
7%
–
BTTS
14% 3/22
9% 2/23
11%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.36 at home
0.58 away
Inter scored 26 in 11 home games
Cagliari scored 7 in 12 away games
Inter
INT
Cagliari
CAG
Scored over 0.5
100% 22/22
61% 14/23
Scored over 1.5
68% 15/22
22% 5/23
Scored over 2.5
32% 7/22
4% 1/23
Failed to score
0% 0/22
39% 9/23
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.55 at home
2.00 away
Inter conceded 6 in 11 home games
Cagliari conceded 24 in 12 away games
Inter
INT
Cagliari
CAG
Conceded over 0.5
36% 8/22
87% 20/23
Conceded over 1.5
9% 2/22
61% 14/23
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/22
26% 6/23
Clean sheets
64% 14/22
13% 3/23
Streaks
Match Totals
Inter
INT
Cagliari
CAG
League
Corners
Corners won
5.89
4.83
–
Corners conceded
4.39
6.22
–
Match total
10.28
11.04
9.77
Over 8.5
72% 13/18
65% 15/23
–
Over 9.5
61% 11/18
65% 15/23
–
Over 10.5
44% 8/18
61% 14/23
–
Cards
Cards
1.41
2.13
–
Opponent cards
2.09
2.30
–
Match total
3.50
4.43
4.69
Over 3.5
55% 12/22
57% 13/23
–
Over 4.5
27% 6/22
43% 10/23
–
Shots
Shots
15.73
12.57
–
Opponent shots
10.23
13.22
–
Match total
25.95
25.78
25.17
Shots on target
On target
5.23
3.64
–
Opponent on target
2.77
4.05
–
Match total
8.00
7.68
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.27
12.57
–
Opponent fouls
10.77
10.96
–
Match total
22.05
23.52
–
Possession
All games
55%
44%
–
Home games
57%
45%
–
Away games
54%
43%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Inter
Scored · 51
16%
6%
25%
14%
12%
27%
Conceded · 10
0%
20%
10%
30%
40%
0%
Cagliari
Scored · 21
5%
14%
5%
5%
28%
43%
Conceded · 42
10%
21%
14%
24%
14%
17%
95%
Scored first
30%
27%
Goals after 75'
43%
Scored first: Inter 21 of 22, Cagliari 6 of 20 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
73%27%
Leading 16
Level 6
Trailing 0
2.45
points per game
At half-time
88%
14 of 16
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 242nd 27
At half-time
13%39%48%
Leading 3
Level 9
Trailing 11
0.78
points per game
At half-time
0%
0 of 3
Led at HT, won
27%
3 of 11
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 16
1
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 17 games
10
7
Points dropped from winning positions in 21 · 9 games
13
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
18
3
1
51
10
41
57
2
16
5
2
36
14
22
53
3
15
4
4
46
27
19
49
···
16
▲
2
13
8
23
37
-14
19
17
▲
4
6
13
21
32
-11
18
18
▼
4
6
13
21
42
-21
18
19
▼
4
6
13
15
36
-21
18
20
2
7
14
19
44
-25
13
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