Stats Prediction
Result probability
18%
29%
53%
Empoli 18%
Draw 29%
Bologna 53%
0.6 – 1.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
19% chance
Most Likely Score
30%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Empoli · at home
Bologna · away
0.67
Goals scored per game
1.00
1.42
Goals conceded per game
1.36
0.46x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.91x
1.30x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.93x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 23 + 22 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Genoa (H) 0-0 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Sassuolo (H) 4-2 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings
57%
14%
29%
Empoli wins 4
Draws 1
Bologna wins 2
Goals 11 (1.57 per game)
Goals 10 (1.43 per game)
71%
5
of 7
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
5
of 7
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
3
of 7
Over 3.5 Goals
57%
4
of 7
Both Teams Scored
29%
2
of 7
Empoli Clean Sheets
29%
2
of 7
Bologna Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 7 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
D
W
L
L
D
D
W
L
L
D
L
L
D
D
0.78
4-6-13
PPG Overall
0.75
2-3-7
PPG at Home
0.82
2-3-6
PPG Away
W
D
L
D
L
W
D
L
D
L
W
W
W
D
W
1.64
9-9-4
PPG Overall
2.36
8-2-1
PPG at Home
0.91
1-7-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Bologna away +21% on points per game vs Empoli at home (0.91 vs 0.75)
Rest & Schedule
43
days rest
Empoli 0-0 Genoa
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
43
days rest
Bologna 4-2 Sassuolo
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
12
11
Win %
17%
17%
18%
Goals per game
2.22
2.08
2.36
Scored
0.65
0.67
0.64
Conceded
1.57
1.42
1.73
Both teams scored
26%
17%
36%
Clean sheets
30%
33%
27%
Failed to score
57%
67%
45%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
11
11
Win %
41%
73%
9%
Goals per game
2.32
2.27
2.36
Scored
1.32
1.64
1.00
Conceded
1.00
0.64
1.36
Both teams scored
55%
36%
73%
Clean sheets
36%
55%
18%
Failed to score
23%
18%
27%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Empoli
EMP
Bologna
BOL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
87% 20/23
86% 19/22
87%
–
Over 1.5
65% 15/23
77% 17/22
71%
74%
Over 2.5
35% 8/23
45% 10/22
40%
50%
Over 3.5
9% 2/23
14% 3/22
11%
24%
Over 4.5
9% 2/23
5% 1/22
7%
–
Under 2.5
65% 15/23
55% 12/22
60%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
26% 6/23
55% 12/22
40%
51%
BTTS & win
0% 0/23
18% 4/22
9%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
13% 3/23
36% 8/22
25%
–
Empoli
EMP
Bologna
BOL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
61% 14/23
68% 15/22
65%
–
Over 1.5
22% 5/23
41% 9/22
31%
–
Over 2.5
9% 2/23
9% 2/22
9%
–
BTTS
4% 1/23
27% 6/22
16%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.67 at home
1.00 away
Empoli scored 8 in 12 home games
Bologna scored 11 in 11 away games
Empoli
EMP
Bologna
BOL
Scored over 0.5
43% 10/23
77% 17/22
Scored over 1.5
13% 3/23
41% 9/22
Scored over 2.5
9% 2/23
9% 2/22
Failed to score
57% 13/23
23% 5/22
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.42 at home
1.36 away
Empoli conceded 17 in 12 home games
Bologna conceded 15 in 11 away games
Empoli
EMP
Bologna
BOL
Conceded over 0.5
70% 16/23
64% 14/22
Conceded over 1.5
43% 10/23
32% 7/22
Conceded over 2.5
22% 5/23
5% 1/22
Clean sheets
30% 7/23
36% 8/22
Streaks
Match Totals
Empoli
EMP
Bologna
BOL
League
Corners
Corners won
5.00
4.10
–
Corners conceded
6.00
4.80
–
Match total
11.00
8.90
9.77
Over 8.5
78% 18/23
45% 9/20
–
Over 9.5
70% 16/23
30% 6/20
–
Over 10.5
61% 14/23
25% 5/20
–
Cards
Cards
2.22
2.50
–
Opponent cards
2.09
3.41
–
Match total
4.30
5.91
4.69
Over 3.5
74% 17/23
91% 20/22
–
Over 4.5
35% 8/23
68% 15/22
–
Shots
Shots
11.70
11.95
–
Opponent shots
15.26
10.86
–
Match total
26.96
22.82
25.17
Shots on target
On target
3.55
4.27
–
Opponent on target
5.09
3.36
–
Match total
8.64
7.64
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.91
12.23
–
Opponent fouls
13.83
13.14
–
Match total
26.74
25.36
–
Possession
All games
46%
58%
–
Home games
46%
58%
–
Away games
46%
57%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Empoli
Scored · 15
14%
13%
13%
0%
33%
27%
Conceded · 36
20%
14%
11%
19%
17%
19%
Bologna
Scored · 29
7%
31%
7%
17%
10%
28%
Conceded · 22
18%
23%
18%
14%
14%
13%
25%
Scored first
63%
27%
Goals after 75'
28%
Scored first: Empoli 5 of 20, Bologna 12 of 19 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
13%43%43%
Leading 3
Level 10
Trailing 10
0.83
points per game
At half-time
100%
3 of 3
Led at HT, won
10%
1 of 10
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 62nd 9
At half-time
23%50%27%
Leading 5
Level 11
Trailing 6
1.18
points per game
At half-time
80%
4 of 5
Led at HT, won
67%
4 of 6
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 132nd 16
3
Points won from losing positions in 16 · 9 games
9
3
Points dropped from winning positions in 5 · 14 games
11
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
4
▲
12
3
7
40
22
18
39
5
▼
11
5
7
40
26
14
38
6
▼
9
9
4
29
22
7
36
7
10
5
7
32
26
6
35
8
▲
10
4
8
25
23
2
34
···
17
▲
4
6
13
21
32
-11
18
18
▼
4
6
13
21
42
-21
18
19
▼
4
6
13
15
36
-21
18
20
2
7
14
19
44
-25
13
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