Stats Prediction
Result probability
25%
26%
49%
Salernitana 25%
Draw 26%
Lecce 49%
1.0 – 1.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
12% chance
Most Likely Score
45%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Salernitana · at home
Lecce · away
1.00
Goals scored per game
0.82
2.00
Goals conceded per game
1.45
0.68x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.75x
1.83x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.00x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 23 + 23 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Torino (A) 0-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
11
65
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Fiorentina (H) 3-2 · 2 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings
25%
75%
Salernitana wins 1
Draws 0
Lecce wins 3
Goals 3 (0.75 per game)
Goals 9 (2.25 per game)
100%
4
of 4
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
3
of 4
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
1
of 4
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
2
of 4
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 4
Salernitana Clean Sheets
50%
2
of 4
Lecce Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 4 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
L
L
L
L
D
L
L
L
L
W
D
L
L
L
0.57
2-7-14
PPG Overall
0.58
1-4-7
PPG at Home
0.55
1-3-7
PPG Away
W
L
L
L
D
W
L
L
L
D
L
L
W
D
D
1.04
5-9-9
PPG Overall
1.58
5-4-3
PPG at Home
0.45
0-5-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Salernitana at home +29% on points per game vs Lecce away (0.58 vs 0.45)
Rest & Schedule
42
days rest
Torino 0-0 Salernitana
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
44
days rest
Lecce 3-2 Fiorentina
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
12
11
Win %
9%
8%
9%
Goals per game
2.74
3.00
2.45
Scored
0.83
1.00
0.64
Conceded
1.91
2.00
1.82
Both teams scored
57%
75%
36%
Clean sheets
9%
0%
18%
Failed to score
39%
25%
55%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
12
11
Win %
22%
42%
0%
Goals per game
2.48
2.67
2.27
Scored
1.04
1.25
0.82
Conceded
1.43
1.42
1.45
Both teams scored
61%
58%
64%
Clean sheets
9%
17%
0%
Failed to score
30%
25%
36%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Salernitana
SAL
Lecce
LEC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
96% 22/23
100% 23/23
98%
–
Over 1.5
83% 19/23
78% 18/23
80%
74%
Over 2.5
65% 15/23
43% 10/23
54%
50%
Over 3.5
26% 6/23
22% 5/23
24%
24%
Over 4.5
4% 1/23
4% 1/23
4%
–
Under 2.5
35% 8/23
57% 13/23
46%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
57% 13/23
61% 14/23
59%
51%
BTTS & win
4% 1/23
13% 3/23
9%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
48% 11/23
35% 8/23
41%
–
Salernitana
SAL
Lecce
LEC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
74% 17/23
61% 14/23
67%
–
Over 1.5
39% 9/23
22% 5/23
30%
–
Over 2.5
4% 1/23
0% 0/23
2%
–
BTTS
22% 5/23
13% 3/23
17%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.00 at home
0.82 away
Salernitana scored 12 in 12 home games
Lecce scored 9 in 11 away games
Salernitana
SAL
Lecce
LEC
Scored over 0.5
61% 14/23
70% 16/23
Scored over 1.5
22% 5/23
30% 7/23
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/23
4% 1/23
Failed to score
39% 9/23
30% 7/23
Goals conceded per game at this venue
2.00 at home
1.45 away
Salernitana conceded 24 in 12 home games
Lecce conceded 16 in 11 away games
Salernitana
SAL
Lecce
LEC
Conceded over 0.5
91% 21/23
91% 21/23
Conceded over 1.5
70% 16/23
39% 9/23
Conceded over 2.5
22% 5/23
9% 2/23
Clean sheets
9% 2/23
9% 2/23
Streaks
5
Without a win last win 6 games ago
1
Won last game
18
Conceded in a row
3
Over 2.5 goals in a row
2
Scored in a row
2
Both teams scored in a row
Match Totals
Salernitana
SAL
Lecce
LEC
League
Corners
Corners won
4.57
4.09
–
Corners conceded
6.19
4.77
–
Match total
10.76
8.86
9.77
Over 8.5
76% 16/21
55% 12/22
–
Over 9.5
76% 16/21
41% 9/22
–
Over 10.5
62% 13/21
32% 7/22
–
Cards
Cards
2.52
2.78
–
Opponent cards
2.35
2.65
–
Match total
4.87
5.43
4.69
Over 3.5
65% 15/23
83% 19/23
–
Over 4.5
48% 11/23
65% 15/23
–
Shots
Shots
10.57
13.26
–
Opponent shots
14.78
13.78
–
Match total
25.35
27.04
25.17
Shots on target
On target
3.32
4.23
–
Opponent on target
5.50
4.77
–
Match total
8.82
9.00
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.57
13.57
–
Opponent fouls
13.00
14.09
–
Match total
25.57
27.65
–
Possession
All games
44%
45%
–
Home games
43%
46%
–
Away games
44%
44%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Salernitana
Scored · 19
16%
11%
16%
21%
26%
10%
Conceded · 44
18%
11%
14%
18%
7%
32%
Lecce
Scored · 24
13%
8%
8%
8%
21%
42%
Conceded · 33
3%
18%
15%
21%
18%
25%
27%
Scored first
43%
11%
Goals after 75'
42%
Scored first: Salernitana 6 of 22, Lecce 10 of 23 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
13%43%43%
Leading 3
Level 10
Trailing 10
0.83
points per game
At half-time
0%
0 of 3
Led at HT, won
20%
2 of 10
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 11
At half-time
17%52%30%
Leading 4
Level 12
Trailing 7
1.04
points per game
At half-time
50%
2 of 4
Led at HT, won
57%
4 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 17
8
Points won from losing positions in 20 · 16 games
11
18
Points dropped from winning positions in 9 · 11 games
14
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
11
▼
7
8
8
21
28
-7
29
12
▲
7
8
8
24
26
-2
29
13
5
9
9
24
33
-9
24
14
▼
6
5
12
31
44
-13
23
15
5
4
13
28
41
-13
19
···
18
▼
4
6
13
21
42
-21
18
19
▼
4
6
13
15
36
-21
18
20
2
7
14
19
44
-25
13
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