Stats Prediction
Result probability
48%
21%
31%
Lens 48%
Draw 21%
Monaco 31%
2.1 – 1.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-1
9% chance
Most Likely Score
72%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
LEN · at home
Monaco · away
1.56
Goals scored per game
2.00
0.89
Goals conceded per game
1.90
1.09x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.87x
0.83x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.33x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-1-2
vs Nantes (A) 0-1 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs LE Havre (H) 1-1 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
67%
33%
Lens wins 2
Draws 0
Monaco wins 1
Goals 7 (2.33 per game)
Goals 4 (1.33 per game)
100%
3
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
3
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Both Teams Scored
33%
1
of 3
Lens Clean Sheets
33%
1
of 3
Monaco Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
D
W
W
W
D
1.60
9-5-6
PPG Overall
1.89
5-2-2
PPG at Home
1.36
4-3-4
PPG Away
D
D
L
W
L
D
D
L
W
L
W
W
L
D
W
1.75
10-5-5
PPG Overall
1.90
6-1-3
PPG at Home
1.60
4-4-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Lens at home +18% on points per game vs Monaco away (1.89 vs 1.60)
Rest & Schedule
22
days rest
Nantes 0-1 Lens
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
21
days rest
Monaco 1-1 LE Havre
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
9
11
Win %
45%
56%
36%
Goals per game
2.15
2.44
1.91
Scored
1.20
1.56
0.91
Conceded
0.95
0.89
1.00
Both teams scored
30%
44%
18%
Clean sheets
50%
33%
64%
Failed to score
35%
22%
45%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
50%
60%
40%
Goals per game
3.25
2.60
3.90
Scored
1.85
1.70
2.00
Conceded
1.40
0.90
1.90
Both teams scored
60%
40%
80%
Clean sheets
25%
40%
10%
Failed to score
20%
20%
20%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lens
LEN
Monaco
MON
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
85% 17/20
95% 19/20
90%
–
Over 1.5
65% 13/20
85% 17/20
75%
72%
Over 2.5
35% 7/20
65% 13/20
50%
48%
Over 3.5
20% 4/20
40% 8/20
30%
26%
Over 4.5
10% 2/20
20% 4/20
15%
–
Under 2.5
65% 13/20
35% 7/20
50%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
30% 6/20
60% 12/20
45%
49%
BTTS & win
10% 2/20
30% 6/20
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
20% 4/20
55% 11/20
38%
–
Lens
LEN
Monaco
MON
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
70% 14/20
75% 15/20
73%
–
Over 1.5
20% 4/20
55% 11/20
38%
–
Over 2.5
5% 1/20
30% 6/20
18%
–
BTTS
15% 3/20
40% 8/20
28%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.56 at home
2.00 away
Lens scored 14 in 9 home games
Monaco scored 20 in 10 away games
Lens
LEN
Monaco
MON
Scored over 0.5
65% 13/20
80% 16/20
Scored over 1.5
35% 7/20
70% 14/20
Scored over 2.5
15% 3/20
30% 6/20
Failed to score
35% 7/20
20% 4/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.89 at home
1.90 away
Lens conceded 8 in 9 home games
Monaco conceded 19 in 10 away games
Lens
LEN
Monaco
MON
Conceded over 0.5
50% 10/20
75% 15/20
Conceded over 1.5
30% 6/20
40% 8/20
Conceded over 2.5
15% 3/20
15% 3/20
Clean sheets
50% 10/20
25% 5/20
Streaks
Match Totals
Lens
LEN
Monaco
MON
League
Corners
Corners won
5.00
5.85
–
Corners conceded
4.21
4.10
–
Match total
9.21
9.95
9.45
Over 8.5
58% 11/19
65% 13/20
–
Over 9.5
47% 9/19
60% 12/20
–
Over 10.5
37% 7/19
40% 8/20
–
Cards
Cards
2.40
2.70
–
Opponent cards
1.95
1.75
–
Match total
4.35
4.45
3.98
Over 3.5
65% 13/20
65% 13/20
–
Over 4.5
50% 10/20
50% 10/20
–
Shots
Shots
13.90
14.65
–
Opponent shots
11.25
10.85
–
Match total
25.15
25.50
25.14
Shots on target
On target
5.00
6.16
–
Opponent on target
4.05
4.53
–
Match total
9.05
10.68
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.25
14.85
–
Opponent fouls
13.70
12.00
–
Match total
26.95
26.85
–
Possession
All games
52%
54%
–
Home games
51%
57%
–
Away games
53%
51%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lens
Scored · 24
12%
17%
12%
21%
17%
21%
Conceded · 19
5%
11%
32%
21%
5%
26%
Monaco
Scored · 37
8%
24%
19%
24%
14%
11%
Conceded · 28
25%
7%
18%
18%
11%
21%
53%
Scored first
42%
21%
Goals after 75'
11%
Scored first: Lens 9 of 17, Monaco 8 of 19 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
35%40%25%
Leading 7
Level 8
Trailing 5
1.45
points per game
At half-time
71%
5 of 7
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 14
At half-time
40%40%20%
Leading 8
Level 8
Trailing 4
1.60
points per game
At half-time
88%
7 of 8
Led at HT, won
25%
1 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 192nd 18
7
Points won from losing positions in 9 · 11 games
14
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 11 · 13 games
6
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
3
10
6
4
29
17
12
36
4
9
8
3
28
14
14
35
5
10
5
5
37
28
9
35
6
9
5
6
24
19
5
32
7
9
3
8
27
27
0
30
8
7
8
5
28
22
6
29
···
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