Stats Prediction
Result probability
36%
35%
29%
Metz 36%
Draw 35%
Lyon 29%
0.9 – 0.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-0
20% chance
Most Likely Score
22%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
MET · at home
Lyon · away
0.80
Goals scored per game
0.67
1.20
Goals conceded per game
1.56
0.56x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.62x
1.12x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.09x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-1-4-1
vs Lorient (H) 1-2 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-3
vs Marseille (H) 1-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
D
0.80
4-4-12
PPG Overall
0.60
1-3-6
PPG at Home
1.00
3-1-6
PPG Away
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
0.95
5-4-11
PPG Overall
1.09
3-3-5
PPG at Home
0.78
2-1-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Lyon away +30% on points per game vs Metz at home (0.78 vs 0.60)
Rest & Schedule
21
days rest
Metz 1-2 Lorient
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
21
days rest
Lyon 1-0 Marseille
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
20%
10%
30%
Goals per game
2.40
2.00
2.80
Scored
0.85
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.55
1.20
1.90
Both teams scored
45%
40%
50%
Clean sheets
15%
10%
20%
Failed to score
45%
60%
30%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
11
9
Win %
25%
27%
22%
Goals per game
2.65
3.00
2.22
Scored
1.00
1.27
0.67
Conceded
1.65
1.73
1.56
Both teams scored
45%
55%
33%
Clean sheets
35%
36%
33%
Failed to score
30%
18%
44%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Metz
MET
Lyon
LYO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
95% 19/20
90% 18/20
93%
–
Over 1.5
55% 11/20
65% 13/20
60%
72%
Over 2.5
45% 9/20
50% 10/20
48%
48%
Over 3.5
30% 6/20
30% 6/20
30%
26%
Over 4.5
10% 2/20
25% 5/20
18%
–
Under 2.5
55% 11/20
50% 10/20
53%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
45% 9/20
45% 9/20
45%
49%
BTTS & win
10% 2/20
0% 0/20
5%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 8/20
40% 8/20
40%
–
Metz
MET
Lyon
LYO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
65% 13/20
60% 12/20
63%
–
Over 1.5
40% 8/20
45% 9/20
43%
–
Over 2.5
10% 2/20
15% 3/20
13%
–
BTTS
30% 6/20
10% 2/20
20%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.80 at home
0.67 away
Metz scored 8 in 10 home games
Lyon scored 6 in 9 away games
Metz
MET
Lyon
LYO
Scored over 0.5
55% 11/20
70% 14/20
Scored over 1.5
20% 4/20
20% 4/20
Scored over 2.5
10% 2/20
10% 2/20
Failed to score
45% 9/20
30% 6/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.20 at home
1.56 away
Metz conceded 12 in 10 home games
Lyon conceded 14 in 9 away games
Metz
MET
Lyon
LYO
Conceded over 0.5
85% 17/20
65% 13/20
Conceded over 1.5
45% 9/20
55% 11/20
Conceded over 2.5
15% 3/20
35% 7/20
Clean sheets
15% 3/20
35% 7/20
Streaks
Match Totals
Metz
MET
Lyon
LYO
League
Corners
Corners won
3.95
4.70
–
Corners conceded
5.05
4.15
–
Match total
9.00
8.85
9.45
Over 8.5
55% 11/20
45% 9/20
–
Over 9.5
50% 10/20
35% 7/20
–
Over 10.5
35% 7/20
30% 6/20
–
Cards
Cards
1.60
2.00
–
Opponent cards
1.30
2.00
–
Match total
2.90
4.00
3.98
Over 3.5
40% 8/20
65% 13/20
–
Over 4.5
15% 3/20
25% 5/20
–
Shots
Shots
9.30
12.35
–
Opponent shots
14.35
12.80
–
Match total
23.65
25.15
25.14
Shots on target
On target
3.25
4.83
–
Opponent on target
5.45
5.33
–
Match total
8.70
10.17
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.25
13.95
–
Opponent fouls
11.75
11.40
–
Match total
24.00
25.35
–
Possession
All games
35%
51%
–
Home games
40%
52%
–
Away games
30%
50%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Metz
Scored · 17
23%
18%
6%
0%
35%
18%
Conceded · 31
19%
13%
16%
19%
7%
26%
Lyon
Scored · 20
5%
20%
10%
20%
20%
25%
Conceded · 33
6%
28%
24%
12%
18%
12%
37%
Scored first
33%
18%
Goals after 75'
25%
Scored first: Metz 7 of 19, Lyon 6 of 18 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
10%55%35%
Leading 2
Level 11
Trailing 7
0.85
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
29%
2 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 9
At half-time
15%45%40%
Leading 3
Level 9
Trailing 8
0.90
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 8
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 13
5
Points won from losing positions in 15 · 13 games
2
9
Points dropped from winning positions in 8 · 7 games
5
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
12
4
8
8
20
25
-5
20
13
4
8
8
19
27
-8
20
14
5
4
11
20
33
-13
19
15
5
4
11
20
31
-11
19
16
3
7
10
26
42
-16
16
17
4
4
12
17
31
-14
16
18
3
6
11
14
32
-18
15
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