Stats Prediction
Result probability
66%
20%
14%
Paris Saint Germain 66%
Draw 20%
Rennes 14%
2.1 – 0.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
12% chance
Most Likely Score
56%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Paris Saint Germain · at home
REN · away
2.70
Goals scored per game
0.89
1.00
Goals conceded per game
1.11
1.88x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.83x
0.93x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.78x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Strasbourg (A) 1-2 · 2 Feb 2024
Substitutes
42
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Montpellier (H) 2-1 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
67%
Paris Saint Germain wins 1
Draws 0
Rennes wins 2
Goals 3 (1.00 per game)
Goals 4 (1.33 per game)
67%
2
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 3
Paris Saint Germain Clean Sheets
67%
2
of 3
Rennes Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
D
W
W
D
W
D
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
W
2.35
14-5-1
PPG Overall
2.30
7-2-1
PPG at Home
2.40
7-3-0
PPG Away
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
L
L
W
L
L
1.40
7-7-6
PPG Overall
1.64
5-3-3
PPG at Home
1.11
2-4-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Paris Saint Germain at home +107% on points per game vs Rennes away (2.30 vs 1.11)
Rest & Schedule
23
days rest
Strasbourg 1-2 Paris Saint Germain
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
22
days rest
Rennes 2-1 Montpellier
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
70%
70%
70%
Goals per game
3.25
3.70
2.80
Scored
2.40
2.70
2.10
Conceded
0.85
1.00
0.70
Both teams scored
60%
60%
60%
Clean sheets
40%
40%
40%
Failed to score
10%
10%
10%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
11
9
Win %
35%
45%
22%
Goals per game
2.75
3.36
2.00
Scored
1.50
2.00
0.89
Conceded
1.25
1.36
1.11
Both teams scored
65%
82%
44%
Clean sheets
20%
9%
33%
Failed to score
30%
9%
56%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Paris Saint Germain
PAR
Rennes
REN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 18/20
85% 17/20
88%
–
Over 1.5
90% 18/20
80% 16/20
85%
72%
Over 2.5
70% 14/20
55% 11/20
63%
48%
Over 3.5
45% 9/20
40% 8/20
43%
26%
Over 4.5
20% 4/20
10% 2/20
15%
–
Under 2.5
30% 6/20
45% 9/20
38%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 12/20
65% 13/20
63%
49%
BTTS & win
40% 8/20
30% 6/20
35%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
50% 10/20
55% 11/20
53%
–
Paris Saint Germain
PAR
Rennes
REN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
75% 15/20
75% 15/20
75%
–
Over 1.5
40% 8/20
35% 7/20
38%
–
Over 2.5
15% 3/20
15% 3/20
15%
–
BTTS
15% 3/20
25% 5/20
20%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.70 at home
0.89 away
Paris Saint Germain scored 27 in 10 home games
Rennes scored 8 in 9 away games
Paris Saint Germain
PAR
Rennes
REN
Scored over 0.5
90% 18/20
70% 14/20
Scored over 1.5
80% 16/20
45% 9/20
Scored over 2.5
50% 10/20
25% 5/20
Failed to score
10% 2/20
30% 6/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
1.11 away
Paris Saint Germain conceded 10 in 10 home games
Rennes conceded 10 in 9 away games
Paris Saint Germain
PAR
Rennes
REN
Conceded over 0.5
60% 12/20
80% 16/20
Conceded over 1.5
20% 4/20
40% 8/20
Conceded over 2.5
5% 1/20
5% 1/20
Clean sheets
40% 8/20
20% 4/20
Streaks
15
Unbeaten last loss 16 games ago
13
Scored in a row
2
Conceded in a row
2
Both teams scored in a row
8
Longest win run this season
5
Unbeaten last loss 6 games ago
4
Scored in a row
2
Conceded in a row
2
Both teams scored in a row
4
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Paris Saint Germain
PAR
Rennes
REN
League
Corners
Corners won
5.21
5.05
–
Corners conceded
5.16
4.47
–
Match total
10.37
9.53
9.45
Over 8.5
68% 13/19
53% 10/19
–
Over 9.5
68% 13/19
37% 7/19
–
Over 10.5
53% 10/19
26% 5/19
–
Cards
Cards
1.40
2.00
–
Opponent cards
1.85
2.25
–
Match total
3.25
4.25
3.98
Over 3.5
45% 9/20
65% 13/20
–
Over 4.5
25% 5/20
35% 7/20
–
Shots
Shots
14.90
14.35
–
Opponent shots
12.65
11.80
–
Match total
27.55
26.15
25.14
Shots on target
On target
6.28
5.37
–
Opponent on target
4.67
4.53
–
Match total
10.94
9.89
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.20
11.45
–
Opponent fouls
11.80
13.00
–
Match total
22.00
24.45
–
Possession
All games
65%
52%
–
Home games
69%
51%
–
Away games
62%
54%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Paris Saint Germain
Scored · 48
10%
15%
25%
17%
10%
23%
Conceded · 17
0%
12%
6%
29%
29%
24%
Rennes
Scored · 30
14%
17%
10%
23%
13%
23%
Conceded · 25
16%
4%
32%
12%
20%
16%
94%
Scored first
47%
23%
Goals after 75'
23%
Scored first: Paris Saint Germain 17 of 18, Rennes 8 of 17 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
70%30%
Leading 14
Level 6
Trailing 0
2.40
points per game
At half-time
93%
13 of 14
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 242nd 24
At half-time
25%40%35%
Leading 5
Level 8
Trailing 7
1.15
points per game
At half-time
60%
3 of 5
Led at HT, won
43%
3 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 122nd 18
0
Points won from losing positions in 1 · 9 games
5
6
Points dropped from winning positions in 17 · 9 games
4
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
14
5
1
48
17
31
47
2
11
6
3
20
11
9
39
3
10
6
4
29
17
12
36
···
7
9
3
8
27
27
0
30
8
7
8
5
28
22
6
29
9
7
7
6
30
25
5
28
10
6
7
7
21
26
-5
25
11
5
9
6
23
24
-1
24
···
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