Stats Prediction
Result probability
57%
21%
22%
Lorient 57%
Draw 21%
Nantes 22%
2.1 – 1.2
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-1
10% chance
Most Likely Score
65%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
LOR · at home
NAN · away
1.70
Goals scored per game
0.67
2.00
Goals conceded per game
1.78
1.19x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.62x
1.87x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.24x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Metz (A) 1-2 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-4-1-1
vs Lens (H) 0-1 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
67%
Lorient wins 1
Draws 0
Nantes wins 2
Goals 6 (2.00 per game)
Goals 8 (2.67 per game)
67%
2
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 3
Lorient Clean Sheets
33%
1
of 3
Nantes Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
D
L
L
L
W
D
L
L
L
L
D
L
L
D
0.80
3-7-10
PPG Overall
1.00
2-4-4
PPG at Home
0.60
1-3-6
PPG Away
L
D
L
L
L
L
D
L
L
L
L
W
D
L
L
0.95
5-4-11
PPG Overall
1.09
3-3-5
PPG at Home
0.78
2-1-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Lorient at home +28% on points per game vs Nantes away (1.00 vs 0.78)
Rest & Schedule
21
days rest
Metz 1-2 Lorient
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
22
days rest
Nantes 0-1 Lens
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
15%
20%
10%
Goals per game
3.40
3.70
3.10
Scored
1.30
1.70
0.90
Conceded
2.10
2.00
2.20
Both teams scored
60%
80%
40%
Clean sheets
10%
10%
10%
Failed to score
40%
20%
60%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
11
9
Win %
25%
27%
22%
Goals per game
2.55
2.64
2.44
Scored
1.00
1.27
0.67
Conceded
1.55
1.36
1.78
Both teams scored
45%
45%
44%
Clean sheets
25%
27%
22%
Failed to score
40%
36%
44%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lorient
LOR
Nantes
NAN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 18/20
90% 18/20
90%
–
Over 1.5
80% 16/20
65% 13/20
73%
72%
Over 2.5
70% 14/20
45% 9/20
58%
48%
Over 3.5
40% 8/20
25% 5/20
33%
26%
Over 4.5
30% 6/20
10% 2/20
20%
–
Under 2.5
30% 6/20
55% 11/20
43%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 12/20
45% 9/20
53%
49%
BTTS & win
15% 3/20
10% 2/20
13%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
50% 10/20
40% 8/20
45%
–
Lorient
LOR
Nantes
NAN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
65% 13/20
55% 11/20
60%
–
Over 1.5
50% 10/20
25% 5/20
38%
–
Over 2.5
25% 5/20
10% 2/20
18%
–
BTTS
40% 8/20
25% 5/20
33%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.70 at home
0.67 away
Lorient scored 17 in 10 home games
Nantes scored 6 in 9 away games
Lorient
LOR
Nantes
NAN
Scored over 0.5
60% 12/20
60% 12/20
Scored over 1.5
45% 9/20
20% 4/20
Scored over 2.5
20% 4/20
10% 2/20
Failed to score
40% 8/20
40% 8/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
2.00 at home
1.78 away
Lorient conceded 20 in 10 home games
Nantes conceded 16 in 9 away games
Lorient
LOR
Nantes
NAN
Conceded over 0.5
90% 18/20
75% 15/20
Conceded over 1.5
55% 11/20
50% 10/20
Conceded over 2.5
45% 9/20
25% 5/20
Clean sheets
10% 2/20
25% 5/20
Streaks
Match Totals
Lorient
LOR
Nantes
NAN
League
Corners
Corners won
3.89
5.05
–
Corners conceded
5.61
5.05
–
Match total
9.50
10.10
9.45
Over 8.5
50% 9/18
60% 12/20
–
Over 9.5
39% 7/18
50% 10/20
–
Over 10.5
33% 6/18
45% 9/20
–
Cards
Cards
2.05
2.00
–
Opponent cards
1.80
1.85
–
Match total
3.85
3.85
3.98
Over 3.5
55% 11/20
60% 12/20
–
Over 4.5
40% 8/20
15% 3/20
–
Shots
Shots
8.95
12.15
–
Opponent shots
15.80
13.25
–
Match total
24.75
25.40
25.14
Shots on target
On target
3.94
4.39
–
Opponent on target
6.50
5.67
–
Match total
10.44
10.06
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.35
12.60
–
Opponent fouls
13.10
11.40
–
Match total
25.45
24.00
–
Possession
All games
46%
48%
–
Home games
46%
46%
–
Away games
46%
49%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lorient
Scored · 26
23%
12%
12%
19%
11%
23%
Conceded · 42
12%
21%
14%
12%
17%
24%
Nantes
Scored · 20
20%
5%
20%
40%
5%
10%
Conceded · 31
13%
13%
3%
20%
19%
32%
33%
Scored first
33%
23%
Goals after 75'
10%
Scored first: Lorient 6 of 18, Nantes 6 of 18 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
15%55%30%
Leading 3
Level 11
Trailing 6
1.00
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
17%
1 of 6
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 122nd 14
At half-time
20%60%20%
Leading 4
Level 12
Trailing 4
1.20
points per game
At half-time
50%
2 of 4
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 92nd 11
5
Points won from losing positions in 15 · 13 games
4
12
Points dropped from winning positions in 8 · 7 games
5
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
13
4
8
8
19
27
-8
20
14
5
4
11
20
33
-13
19
15
5
4
11
20
31
-11
19
16
3
7
10
26
42
-16
16
17
4
4
12
17
31
-14
16
18
3
6
11
14
32
-18
15
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